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Air pollution is a global health issue, and events like forest fires, agricultural burning, dust storms, and fireworks can significantly worsen it. Festivals involving fireworks and wood-log fires, such as Diwali and Holi, are key examples of events that impact local air quality. During Holi, the ritual of Holika involves burning of biomass that releases large amounts of aerosols and other pollutants. To assess the impact of Holika burning, observations were conducted from March 5th to March 18th, 2017. On March 12th, 2017, around 1.8 million kg of wood and biomass were openly burned in about 2250 units of Holika, located in and around the Varanasi city (25.23 N, 82.97 E, similar to 82.20 m amsl). As the Holika burning event began the impact on the Black Carbon (BC), particulate matter 10 & 2.5 (PM10 and PM2.5), sulphur dioxide (SO2), oxides of nitrogen (NOx), ozone (O-3) and carbon monoxide (CO) concentration were observed. Thorough optical investigations have been conducted to better comprehend the radiative effects of aerosols produced due to Holika burning on the environment. The measured AOD at 500 nm values were 0.315 +/- 0.072, 0.392, and 0.329 +/- 0.037, while the BC mass was 7.09 +/- 1.78, 9.95, and 7.18 +/- 0.27 mu g/m(3) for the pre-Holika, Holika, and post-Holika periods. Aerosol radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere (ARF-TOA), at the surface (ARF-SUR), and in the atmosphere (ARF-ATM) are 2.46 +/- 4.15, -40.22 +/- 2.35, and 42.68 +/- 4.12 W/m(2) for pre-Holika, 6.34, -53.45, and 59.80 W/m(2) for Holika, and 5.50 +/- 0.97, -47.11 +/- 5.20, and 52.61 +/- 6.17 W/m(2) for post-Holika burning. These intense observation and analysis revealed that Holika burning adversely impacts AQI, BC concentration and effects climate in terms of ARF and heating rate.

期刊论文 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2025.103856 ISSN: 1474-7065

Glaciers playa vital role in providing water resources for drinking, agriculture, and hydro-electricity in many mountainous regions. As global warming progresses, accurately reconstructing long-term glacier mass changes and comprehending their intricate dynamic relationships with environmental variables are imperative for sustaining livelihoods in these regions. This paper presents the use of eXplainable Machine Learning (XML) models with GRACE and GRACE-FO data to reconstruct long-term monthly glacier mass changes in the Upper Yukon Watershed (UYW), Canada. We utilized the H2O-AutoML regression tools to identify the best performing Machine Learning (ML) model for filling missing data and predicting glacier mass changes from hydroclimatic data. The most accurate predictive model in this study, the Gradient Boosting Machine, coupled with explanatory methods based on SHapley Additive eXplanation (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) analyses, led to automated XML models. The XML unveiled and ranked key predictors of glacier mass changes in the UYW, indicating a decrease since 2014. Analysis showed decreases in snow water equivalent, soil moisture storage, and albedo, along with increases in rainfall flux and air temperature were the main drivers of glacier mass loss. A probabilistic analysis hinging on these drivers suggested that the influence of the key hydrological features is more critical than the key meteorological features. Examination of climatic oscillations showed that high positive anomalies in sea surface temperature are correlated with rapid depletion in glacier mass and soil moisture, as identified by XML. Integrating H2OAutoML with SHAP and LIME not only achieved high prediction accuracy but also enhanced the explainability of the underlying hydroclimatic processes of glacier mass change reconstruction from GRACE and GRACE-FO data in the UYW. This automated XML framework is applicable globally, contingent upon sufficient high-quality data for model training and validation.

期刊论文 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132519 ISSN: 0022-1694

In the context of global climate change, changes in unfrozen water content in permafrost significantly impact regional terrestrial plant ecology and engineering stability. Through Differential Scanning Calorimetry (DSC) experiments, this study analyzed the thermal characteristic indicators, including supercooling temperature, freezing temperature, thawing temperature, critical temperature, and phase-transition temperature ranges, for silt loam with varying starting moisture levels throughout the freezing and thawing cycles. With varying starting moisture levels throughout the freezing and thawing cycles, a model describing the connection between soil temperature and variations in unfrozen water content during freeze-thaw cycles was established and corroborated with experimental data. The findings suggest that while freezing, the freezing and supercooling temperatures of unsaturated clay increased with the soil's starting moisture level, while those of saturated clay were less affected by water content. During thawing, the initial thawing temperature of clay was generally below 0 degrees C, and the thawing temperature exhibited a power function relationship with total water content. Model analysis revealed hysteresis effects in the unfrozen water content curve during freeze-thaw cycles. Both the phase-transition temperature range and model parameters were sensitive to temperature changes, indicating that the processes of permafrost freezing and thawing are mainly controlled by ambient temperature changes. The study highlights the stability of the difference between freezing temperature and supercooling temperature in clay during freezing. These results offer a conceptual framework for comprehending the thawing mechanisms of permafrost and analyzing the variations in mechanical properties and terrestrial ecosystems caused by temperature-dependent moisture changes in permafrost.

期刊论文 2025-03-16 DOI: 10.3390/w17060846

Northeastern China (NEC) is the largest grain base in China. Improving understanding of the effect of climate change on grain production over NEC is conducive to providing immediate response strategies for grain production. In this study, the relationships of the maize production with the dry state during the different maize growth stage have been investigated using the year-to-year increment method. Results showed that the severe drought that occurred from the jointing to maturity period have exerted severe effects on the maize growth. Further analysis indicated that the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over North Atlantic and Maritime Continent in later spring are the important factors affecting the summer droughts over NEC. The late spring SST anomaly over North Atlantic can excite the Rossby waves from the western North Atlantic and propagate eastward to NEC. The snow anomaly over western Siberia in late spring and the soil moisture anomaly over NEC in summer are key factors linking the SST anomaly to drought over the NEC. On the other hand, the Maritime Continent SST anomaly in late spring can modulate the activity of the East Asian jet stream via the East AsiaPacific (EAP) teleconnection, which can provide the favorable conditions for the soil moisture reduction over NEC. Eventually, a predictive model for maize yield over NEC is successfully developed by using the predictive indices of the North Atlantic and the Maritime Continental SST during late spring. Both the cross-validation and independent sample tests show that the calibrated prediction model is robust and exhibits high skill in predicting maize yield over NEC.

期刊论文 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107806 ISSN: 0169-8095

The global climate is becoming warmer and wetter, and the physical properties of saline soil are easily affected by the external climate changes, which can lead to complex water-heat-salt-mechanics (WHSM) coupling effect within the soil. However, in the context of climate change, the current research on the surface energy balance process and laws of water and salt migration in saline soil are not well understood. Moreover, testing systems for studying the impact of external meteorological factors on the properties of saline soil are lacking. Therefore, this study developed a testing system that can simulate the environmental coupling effect of the WHSM in saline soil against a background of climate change. Based on meteorological data from the Hexi District in the seasonal permafrost region of China, the testing system was used to clarify the characteristics of surface energy and WHSM coupling changes in sulfate saline soil in Hexi District during the transition of the four seasons throughout the year. In addition, the reliability of the testing system was also verified using testing data. The results showed that the surface albedo of sulfate saline soil in the Hexi region was the highest in winter, with the highest exceeding 0.4. Owing to changes in the external environment, the heat flux in the sulfate saline soil in spring, summer, and early autumn was positive, while the heat flux in late autumn and winter was mainly negative. During the transition of the four seasons throughout the year in the Hexi region, the trends of soil temperature, volumetric water content, and conductivity were similar, first increasing and then decreasing. As the soil depth increased, the influence of external environmental factors on soil temperature, volumetric water content, and conductivity gradually weakened, and the hysteresis effect became more pronounced. Moreover, owing to the influence of external environmental temperature, salt expansion in the positive temperature stage accounts for approximately five times the salt-frost heave deformation in the negative temperature stage, indicating that the deformation of sulfate saline soil in the Hexi region is mainly caused by salt expansion. Therefore, to reduce the impact of external climate change on engineering buildings and agriculture in salted seasonal permafrost regions, appropriate measures and management methods should be adopted to minimize salt expansion and soil salinization.

期刊论文 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1061/JCRGEI.CRENG-824 ISSN: 0887-381X

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a critical component of the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum, significantly influencing the water and energy balance of ecosystems. However, existing studies on ET have primarily focused on the growing season or specific years, with limited long-term analyses spanning decades. This study aims to analyse the components of ET within the alpine ecosystem of the Heihe River Basin, specifically investigating the dynamics of vegetation transpiration (T) and soil evaporation (Ev). Utilizing the SPAC model and integrating meteorological observations and eddy covariance data from 2013 to 2022, we investigate the impact of solar radiation and vegetation dynamics on ET and its partitioning (T/ET). The agreement between measured and simulated energy fluxes (net radiation and latent energy flux) and soil temperature underscores the validity of the model's performance. Additionally, a comparison employing the underlying water use efficiency method reveals consistent T/ET values during the growing season, further confirming the model's accuracy. Results indicate that the annual average T/ET during the 10-year study period is 0.41 +/- 0.03, close to the global average but lower than in warmer, humid regions. Seasonal analysis reveals a significant increase in T/ET during the growing season (April to October), particularly in May and June, coinciding with the thawing of permafrost and increased soil moisture. In addition, the study finds that the leaf area index and canopy stomatal conductance exhibit a logarithmic relationship with T/ET, whereas soil temperature and downward longwave radiation show an exponential relationship with T/ET. This study highlights the importance of understanding the stomatal conductance dynamics and their controls of transpiration process within alpine ecosystems. By providing key insights into the hydrological processes of these environments, it offers guidance for adapting to climate change impacts.

期刊论文 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1002/eco.70029 ISSN: 1936-0584

Precipitation comes in various phases, including rainfall, snowfall, sleet, and hail. Shifts of precipitation phases, as well as changes in precipitation amount, intensity, and frequency, have significant impacts on regional climate, hydrology, ecology, and the energy balance of the land-atmosphere system. Over the past century, certain progress has been achieved in aspects such as the observation, discrimination, transformation, and impact of precipitation phases. Mainly including: since the 1980s, studies on the observation, formation mechanism, and prediction of precipitation phases have gradually received greater attention and reached a certain scale. The estimation of different precipitation phases using new detection theories and methods has become a research focus. A variety of discrimination methods or schemes, such as the potential thickness threshold method of the air layer, the temperature threshold method of the characteristic layer, and the near-surface air temperature threshold method, have emerged one after another. Meanwhile, comparative studies on the discrimination accuracy and applicability assessment of multiple methods or schemes have also been carried out simultaneously. In recent years, the shift of precipitation from solid to liquid (SPSL) in the mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere has become more pronounced due to global warming and human activities. It leads to an increase in rain-on-snow (ROS) events and avalanche disasters, affecting the speed, intensity, and duration of spring snow-melting, accelerating sea ice and glacier melting, releasing carbon from permafrost, altering soil moisture, productivity, and phenological characteristics of ecosystems, and thereby affecting their structures, processes, qualities, and service functions. Although some progress has been made in the study of precipitation phases, there remains considerable research potential in terms of completeness of basic data, reliability of discrimination schemes, and the mechanistic understanding of the interaction between SPSL and other elements or systems. The study on shifts of precipitation phases and their impacts will play an increasingly important role in assessing the impacts of global climate change, water cycle processes, water resources management, snow and ice processes, snow and ice-related disasters, carbon emissions from permafrost, and ecosystem safety.

期刊论文 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11430-024-1459-3 ISSN: 1674-7313

Glaciers provide multiple ecosystem services (ES) to human society. Due to the continued global warming, the valuation of glacier ES is of urgent importance because this knowledge can support the protection of glaciers. However, a systematic valuation of glacier ES is still lacking, particularly from the perspective of ES contributors. In this study, we introduce the concept of emergy to establish a methodological framework for accounting glacier ES values, and take the Tibetan Plateau (TP) as a case study to comprehensively evaluate the spatiotemporal characteristics of glacier ES during the early 21st century. The results show that the total glacier ES values on the TP increased from 2.36E+24 sej/yr in the 2000s to 2.40E+24 sej/yr in the 2010s, with an overall growth rate of 1.6%. The values of the various services in the 2010s are ranked in descending order: climate regulation (1.59E+24 sej/yr, 66.1%), runoff regulation (4.40E+23 sej/yr, 18.4%), hydropower generation (1.88E+23 sej/ yr, 7.8%). Significantly higher glacier ES values were recorded in the marginal TP than in the endorheic area. With the exception of climate regulation and carbon sequestration, all other service values increased during the study period, partially cultural services, which have experienced rapid growth in tandem with social development. The results of this study will help establish the methodological basis for the assessment of regional and global glacier ES, as well as a scientific basis for the regional protection of glacier resources.

期刊论文 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123966 ISSN: 0301-4797

Understanding the dynamics of soil respiration (Rs) in response to freeze-thaw cycles is crucial due to permafrost degradation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). We conducted continuous in situ observations of Rs using an Li-8150 automated soil CO2 flux system, categorizing the freeze-thaw cycle into four stages: completely thawed (CT), autumn freeze-thaw (AFT), completely frozen (CF), and spring freeze-thaw (SFT). Our results revealed distinct differences in Rs magnitudes, diurnal patterns, and controlling factors across these stages, attributed to varying thermal regimes. The mean Rs values were as follows: 2.51 (1.10) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (CT), 0.37 (0.04) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (AFT), 0.19 (0.06) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (CF), and 0.68 (0.19) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (SFT). Cumulatively, the Rs contributions to annual totals were 89.32% (CT), 0.79% (AFT), 5.01% (CF), and 4.88% (SFT). Notably, the temperature sensitivity (Q10) value during SFT was 2.79 times greater than that in CT (4.63), underscoring the significance of CO2 emissions during spring warming. Soil temperature was the primary driver of Rs in the CT stage, while soil moisture at 5 cm depth and solar radiation significantly influenced Rs during SFT. Our findings suggest that global warming will alter seasonal Rs patterns as freeze-thaw phases evolve, emphasizing the need to monitor CO2 emissions from alpine meadow ecosystems during spring.

期刊论文 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.3390/land14020391

Environmental changes, such as climate warming and higher herbivory pressure, are altering the carbon balance of Arctic ecosystems; yet, how these drivers modify the carbon balance among different habitats remains uncertain. This hampers our ability to predict changes in the carbon sink strength of tundra ecosystems. We investigated how spring goose grubbing and summer warming-two key environmental-change drivers in the Arctic-alter CO2 fluxes in three tundra habitats varying in soil moisture and plant-community composition. In a full-factorial experiment in high-Arctic Svalbard, we simulated grubbing and warming over two years and determined summer net ecosystem exchange (NEE) alongside its components: gross ecosystem productivity (GEP) and ecosystem respiration (ER). After two years, we found net CO2 uptake to be suppressed by both drivers depending on habitat. CO2 uptake was reduced by warming in mesic habitats, by warming and grubbing in moist habitats, and by grubbing in wet habitats. In mesic habitats, warming stimulated ER (+75%) more than GEP (+30%), leading to a 7.5-fold increase in their CO2 source strength. In moist habitats, grubbing decreased GEP and ER by similar to 55%, while warming increased them by similar to 35%, with no changes in summer-long NEE. Nevertheless, grubbing offset peak summer CO2 uptake and warming led to a twofold increase in late summer CO2 source strength. In wet habitats, grubbing reduced GEP (-40%) more than ER (-30%), weakening their CO2 sink strength by 70%. One-year CO2-flux responses were similar to two-year responses, and the effect of simulated grubbing was consistent with that of natural grubbing. CO2-flux rates were positively related to aboveground net primary productivity and temperature. Net ecosystem CO2 uptake started occurring above similar to 70% soil moisture content, primarily due to a decline in ER. Herein, we reveal that key environmental-change drivers-goose grubbing by decreasing GEP more than ER and warming by enhancing ER more than GEP-consistently suppress net tundra CO2 uptake, although their relative strength differs among habitats. By identifying how and where grubbing and higher temperatures alter CO2 fluxes across the heterogeneous Arctic landscape, our results have implications for predicting the tundra carbon balance under increasing numbers of geese in a warmer Arctic.

期刊论文 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.4498 ISSN: 0012-9658
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