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Predicting cumulative surface slope displacements induced by rainfall infiltration is crucial for accurately assessing the risks to potentially affected infrastructure. In this paper the numerical modelling of the case history of Miscano slope is presented. Plaxis 2D code has been used adopting two constitutive laws: the linear elastoplastic model (Mohr-Coulomb, MC) and the Hardening Soil with small strain stiffness (HSsmall). The aim is to test the suitability of these constitutive laws in predicting the hydro-mechanical behaviour of clayey soil slope. Based on long-term field measurements, the parameters of MC and HSsmall have been determined by back analysing the first-year field measurements in terms of cumulative surficial horizontal displacements and pore water pressure. Subsequently, the numerical models have been validated against the analogous field measurements collected from the second year. The numerical models predict with a good agreement the field measurements for both years. In terms of cumulative surficial horizontal displacements, the HSsmall underestimates the field measurements by 21.2% at the end of the first year, while that based on MC exhibits a 32.8% overestimation. Moreover, the initialization procedure clearly affects the cumulative surficial horizontal displacements results obtained with both the HSsmall and MC models for the second year. In fact, the best results have been achieved when the second-year net rainfall have been applied starting from the initial phase used to generate the lithostatic stress state.

期刊论文 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.compgeo.2025.107267 ISSN: 0266-352X

From July 26 to July 28, 2024, a rare heavy rainfall associated with Typhoon Gaemi triggered widespread clustered landslides in Zixing City, Hunan Province, China. The severe disaster caused 50 fatalities and 15 missing persons across 26 villages, damaging 11,869 houses and affecting a total of 128,000 individuals. Timely and accurate event analysis is essential for deepening our understanding of landslide clustering mechanisms and guiding future disaster prevention efforts. To achieve this, remote sensing analysis using satellite and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) aerial images was conducted to assess the distribution pattern of landslide clusters and explore their relationship with environmental factors. Field investigations were subsequently carried out to identify the failure mechanisms of representative landslides. The results identified three main landslide clustering areas in the eastern mountainous forest region of Zixing City. The landslides are predominantly shallow soil slides, with their distribution closely linked to rainfall thresholds and lithology. The clustering areas typically received cumulative precipitation exceeding 400 mm during the extreme rainfall event. Lithology significantly influences the composition and thickness of slope soils, which in turn controls sliding patterns and affects landslide distribution density and individual landslide size. Granite residual soils contributed to the highest landslide density, with many large individual landslides. Topography and vegetation also play important roles in landslide formation and movement. This study provides preliminary insights into the clustered landslide event, aiding researchers in quickly understanding its key features.

期刊论文 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10346-025-02510-1 ISSN: 1612-510X

A novel high-permeability counterfort retaining wall (HPRW) was proposed for improved control of rainfall-induced landslides, and its working performance and mechanism were studied by thorough numerical simulations. The numerical simulations revealed that the retaining effect of the HPRW was significantly better than that of the conventional counterfort retaining wall (CRW) under the effect of rainfall. Relative to the CRW, the pore water pressure and groundwater table decreased owing to the excellent drainage capacity of the HPRW, in turn leading to the decreases in the hydrodynamic pressure and earth pressure. Consequently, the slope deformation decreased and stability of the slope increased with the application of the HPRW. Furthermore, the stress and displacement of the HPRW and the earth pressure acting on the HPRW were lower than those of the CRW under identical working conditions. Parametric analysis indicated that the rainfall intensity, property of the sliding mass and gravel filling in the catchment tank affected the retaining effect of the HPRW and the stability of the slope to varying degrees. The results of this study can provide a significant basis for the design, application and subsequent research on the HPRW.

期刊论文 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-025-12106-6 ISSN: 1866-6280

Rwanda, in eastern tropical Africa, is a small, densely populated country where climatic disasters are often the cause of considerable damage and deaths. Landslides are among the most frequent hazards, linked to the country's peculiar configuration including high relief with steep slopes, humid tropical climate with heavy rainfall, intense deforestation over the past 60 years, and extensive use of the soil for agriculture. The Karongi region, in the west-central part of the country, was affected by an exceptional cluster of more than 700 landslides during a single night (6-7 May 2018) over an area of 100 km2. We analyse the causes of this spectacular event based on field geological and geomorphology investigation and CHIRPS and ERA5-Land climate data. We demonstrate that (1) the notably steep slopes favoured soil instability; (2) the layered soil and especially the gravelly, porous C horizon allowed water storage and served as a detachment level for the landslides; (3) relatively low intensity, almost continuous rainfall over the previous two months lead to soil water-logging; and (4) acoustic waves from thunder or mechanical shaking by strong wind destabilized the water-logged soil through thixotropy triggering the landslides. This analysis should serve as a guide for forecasting landslide-triggering conditions in Rwanda.

期刊论文 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.3390/geohazards5040049

Extreme rainfall events, within the context of climate change, pose a heightened risk of geohazards to mountainous regions. On 22 June 2022, a rainstorm-induced landslide-mudflow occurred in a terraced field in Longsheng County, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China. The disaster began as a rotational slide, and mobilized into a mudflow with high mobility and long runout, causing significant damage to the local community. This event served as a wake-up call not only for the safety of mountain settlements, but also for the protection of terraced fields as Globally Important Agricultural Heritage Systems. To elucidate the trigger and mudflow mobilization of the event, field investigation, hydrological and agricultural analyses, and laboratory tests were conducted. It was found that the persistent and record-breaking rainfall directly triggered the disaster by increasing pore water pressure. The transition from paddy terraces to dry terraces was deduced to have contributed to a lack of maintenance in the terrace drainage system, thereby heightening the likelihood of landslides. The mudflow mobilization was attributed to excess pore water pressure generated by soil contraction and an undrained condition maintained by low permeability soil. Soil experiencing sliding may be more susceptible to shear contraction, consequently resulting in long-runout motion. Under conditions of increasing extreme rainfall, greater attention needs to be paid to geo-disaster prevention and terraced field protection in mountainous regions.

期刊论文 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10346-024-02332-7 ISSN: 1612-510X
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