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The global cryosphere is retreating under ongoing climate change. The Third Pole (TP) of the Earth, which serves as a critical water source for two billion people, is also experiencing this decline. However, the interplay between rising temperatures and increasing precipitation in the TP results in complex cryospheric responses, introducing uncertainties in the future budget of TP cryospheric water (including glacier and snow water equivalents and frozen soil moisture). Using a calibrated model that integrated multiple cryospheric-hydrological components and processes, we projected the TP cryospheric water budgets under both low and high climatic forcing scenarios for the period 2021-2100 and assessed the relative impact of temperature and precipitation. Results showed (1) that despite both scenarios involving simultaneous warming and wetting, under low climatic forcing, the total cryospheric budget exhibited positive dynamics (0.017 mm yr-1 with an average of 1.77 mm), primarily driven by increased precipitation. Glacier mass loss gradually declined with the rate of retreat slowing, accompanied by negligible declines in the budget of snow water equivalent and frozen soil moisture. (2) By contrast, high climatic forcing led to negative dynamics in the total cryospheric budget (-0.056 mm yr-1 with an average of -1.08 mm) dominated by warming, with accelerated decreases in the budget of all cryospheric components. These variations were most pronounced in higher-altitude regions, indicating elevation-dependent cryospheric budget dynamics. Overall, our findings present alternative futures for the TP cryosphere, and highlight novel evidence that optimistic cryospheric outcomes may be possible under specific climate scenarios.

期刊论文 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adbfab ISSN: 1748-9326

Background. Agricultural lands play a key role in ensuring the food security of the population and the development of the country's economy. However, excessive wetting poses a significant threat to these lands, as a result of which the conditions for the formation of soils with signs of glaciation and low fertility are formed within the lower relief elements, which significantly reduces their potential. In order to highlight the problems of geospatial identification of micro -recessed landforms (MRLF) on agricultural lands, the article uses spectral indices based on the data of RSE. Methods. 6 spectral indices were selected for the research. They were used to obtain data on areas of soil subsidence on arable lands, namely: NDWI, NWI, NDMI, NDVI, OSAVI, WRI. Solving research tasks involved the use of data from the Sentinel -2A satellite system. In order to visualize the spread of MRLF on the research territory, a high -resolution image (0.2 m per 1 pixel) obtained in the Digitals Professional 5.0 software was used. Processing and geospatial visualization of the RSE data were performed in the Arc Map environment of the Arc GIS 10.8 program using the raster calculator tool. Results. Within the reference fields, the dynamics of the values of water and vegetation indices were constructed and analyzed, and the identification ability for the geospatial separation of soil areas with signs of hydromorphism was evaluated. It is shown that the identification capacity of the indices depends not only on the level of soil moisture, but also on the biomass of vegetation (scales of crop damage), which is indicated by the high information capacity of the traditional vegetation index NDVI. The most informative index ranges were established: for NDVI, the range is from -0.117 to -0.024 with an identification percentage of 98.0 %; for OSAVI - 78.0 % with a range of 0.255-0.313; for NDMI with a range variation of -0.041 to -0.149 and an identification percentage of 56.0. Conclusions. The results of remote identification of the areas of the MRLF enabled to obtain information about the moisture content of the soils of the arable lands of the research area. The ability of the specified indices during the geospatial identification of microrecessed landforms (MRLF) and soil areas within them with signs of hydromorphism was evaluated. It is demonstrated that the use of orthophotos with a resolution of 0.2 m per 1 pixel serves as important supporting aids of successful completion of the specified tasks. It was found that the identification ability of water indices on test fields without existing vegetation is too low. On the other hand, the shielding of the soil surface by vegetation with areas of damaged crops makes it possible to isolate MRLF. The obtained information can be used during the development of the methodology of soil science surveying and planning of largescale soil survey activities.

期刊论文 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.17721/1728-2713.104.12 ISSN: 1728-2713

In the 50 years since the first lunar sample return, the investigation of H2O in the Moon has experienced several stages of developments and paradigms. In the early years since Apollo sample return, only bulk soil and bulk rock samples were analyzed for H2O as well as other volatiles. From 1970 to 2007, it was thought that the Moon is essentially devoid of innate H2O, containing probably less than 1 ppb. New technologies gradually enabled the measurements of H2O in lunar glass beads, soil glass, minerals such as apatite and anorthite, and olivine-hosted melt inclusions. The advancements in measurement techniques led to improved data and new insights. Starting from 2008, significant H2O in deep-sourced lunar rocks has been reported, resulting in a paradigm shift from a bone-dry Moon to a fairly wet Moon, although there is still debate about whether the bulk silicate Moon contains similar to 100 ppm of H2O (similar to that in the Earth's MORB mantle) or only a few ppm H2O. The advances on our knowledge of H2O in the Moon is accompanied by increased understanding of other volatiles in the Moon. Gradually, the degrees of depletion of various volatiles in the Moon relative to the Earth were inferred. Using assessed data from available lunar samples, mostly the melt inclusions, and also bulk rock analyses, it is found that the inferred degrees of depletion for volatile elements in the Moon relative to the Earth do not vary much and are independent of the condensation temperature. It is proposed that an early veneer delivered the volatiles to both the Earth and the Moon, but the Moon received proportionally less of the early veneer planetesimals. In addition to H2O in the interior of the Moon, significant surface H2O in the form of ice in lunar polar regions and structural OH in agglutinate glass in lunar regolith originating from solar wind implantation has also been gradually quantified.

期刊论文 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1021/acsearthspacechem.9b00305 ISSN: 2472-3452

The Moon is depleted in volatile elements relative to the Earth and Mars. Low abundances of volatile elements, fractionated stable isotope ratios of S, Cl, K and Zn, high mu (U-238/Pb-204) and long-term Rb/Sr depletion are distinguishing features of the Moon, relative to the Earth. These geochemical characteristics indicate both inheritance of volatile-depleted materials that formed the Moon and planets and subsequent evaporative loss of volatile elements that occurred during lunar formation and differentiation. Models of volatile loss through localized eruptive degassing are not consistent with the available S, Cl, Zn and K isotopes and abundance data for the Moon. The most probable cause of volatile depletion is global-scale evaporation resulting from a giant impact or a magma ocean phase where inefficient volatile loss during magmatic convection led to the present distribution of volatile elements within mantle and crustal reservoirs. Problems exist for models of planetary volatile depletion following giant impact. Most critically, in this model, the volatile loss requires preferential delivery and retention of late-accreted volatiles to the Earth compared with the Moon. Different proportions of late-accreted mass are computed to explain present-day distributions of volatile and moderately volatile elements (e. g. Pb, Zn; 5 to >10%) relative to highly siderophile elements (approx. 0.5%) for the Earth. Models of early magma ocean phases may be more effective in explaining the volatile loss. Basaltic materials (e. g. eucrites and angrites) from highly differentiated airless asteroids are volatile-depleted, like the Moon, whereas the Earth and Mars have proportionally greater volatile contents. Parent-body size and the existence of early atmospheres are therefore likely to represent fundamental controls on planetary volatile retention or loss.

期刊论文 2014-09-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2013.0259 ISSN: 1364-503X
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