We review the progress of research on permafrost and periglacial dynamics over the last two decades and explore future periglacial landscapes in Svalbard, High Arctic. This area has been subjected to rapid air and ground warming at a rate of 0.10.2 degrees C yr-1, as well as simultaneous thawing of the top layer of permafrost at a rate of about 1 cm yr-1 over the last two decades. Periglacial features studied include ice-wedge polygons, mudboils, sorted patterned ground, pingos, solifluction lobes, active-layer detachment slides, and rock glaciers. These landforms are concentrated within narrow alluvial plains and valley-side slopes but separated by geomorphological specifics and ground materials. Decadal-scale monitoring highlights climatic control of the morphology and dynamics of three landforms & horbar;ice-wedge polygons, mudboils, and rock glaciers & horbar;and the impact of long-term warming on their dynamics. Despite the location close to the southern limit of continuous permafrost, multiple cold spells in mid-winter activate thermal contraction cracking, which permits the growth of ice wedges. If such cold spells continue under a warmer climate, ice wedge could still grow below the deepening active layer. In a mudboil-small polygon landscape, seasonal frost heaving (or thaw settlement) of the central mound is coupled with closing (or opening) of the marginal crack. This movement would be maintained under a warmer climate and at a deeper active layer if the active layer is kept very humid. Although the contemporary cold climate is generally unfavorable for the growth of well-developed rock glaciers in Svalbard, slow permafrost creep at a rate of a few centimeters per year produces basal bulging of the valley-side talus slopes. The warming trend in the last decade has led to a steady acceleration of the movement. Further warming in the near future is expected to develop longer valley-side rock glaciers.

Active layer thickness in extremely cold regions is an indicator of global climate change, but it is also affected by the terrain types. Among the different terrain types typical to cold regions, patterned ground is of interest because it develops over time. Thus, investigating the active layer at different degrees of patterned ground development is required to understand the variability in its distribution. In this study, an electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) survey is conducted at three study sites to investigate the distribution of the active layer according to the degree of patterned ground development. The results of the ERT surveys show that the active layer is thinner, and the patterned ground develops better on an active layer with a small slope and stagnant porewater. Thawing of permafrost may be accelerated around patterned ground. As the ERT survey investigates geological structures without disturbing the target ground, it may be an effective method to monitor geological structures in extremely cold regions and interactions of the active layer with the surrounding conditions.

In response to increasing Arctic temperatures, ice-rich permafrost landscapes are undergoing rapid changes. In permafrost lowlands, polygonal ice wedges are especially prone to degradation. Melting of ice wedges results in deepening troughs and the transition from low-centered to high-centered ice-wedge polygons. This process has important implications for surface hydrology, as the connectivity of such troughs determines the rate of drainage for these lowland landscapes. In this study, we present a comprehensive, modular, and highly automated workflow to extract, to represent, and to analyze remotely sensed ice-wedge polygonal trough networks as a graph (i.e., network structure). With computer vision methods, we efficiently extract the trough locations as well as their geomorphometric information on trough depth and width from high-resolution digital elevation models and link these data within the graph. Further, we present and discuss the benefits of graph analysis algorithms for characterizing the erosional development of such thaw-affected landscapes. Based on our graph analysis, we show how thaw subsidence has progressed between 2009 and 2019 following burning at the Anaktuvuk River fire scar in northern Alaska, USA. We observed a considerable increase in the number of discernible troughs within the study area, while simultaneously the number of disconnected networks decreased from 54 small networks in 2009 to only six considerably larger disconnected networks in 2019. On average, the width of the troughs has increased by 13.86%, while the average depth has slightly decreased by 10.31%. Overall, our new automated approach allows for monitoring ice-wedge dynamics in unprecedented spatial detail, while simultaneously reducing the data to quantifiable geometric measures and spatial relationships.