Subarctic palsa mires are natural indicators of the status of permafrost in its sporadic distribution zone. Estimation of the rate of their thawing can become an auxiliary indicator to predict climate shifts. The formation, growth, and degradation of palsas are dynamic processes that depend on seasonal weather fluctuations and local environmental factors. Therefore, accurate forecasts of palsas conditions and related ecosystem shifts must be based on a broad set of attributes of palsas from different regions of the Northern Hemisphere. With this in mind, we studied two palsa mires sites on the Kola Peninsula, for which no thorough descriptions were previously available. The first site, Chavanga, is at the southern limit of the permafrost zone under unfavorable climatic conditions and is a collapsing relic. The second site, Ponoy, in contrast, is within the sporadic permafrost zone with relatively cold and dry conditions. Our dataset was created by combining several methods to produce detailed spatial models of permafrost for the studied palsa mires. We used 3D ground-penetrating radar (GPR) survey, UAV-based orthophoto maps, peat thermometry, time-domain reflectometry, and manual sampling. We developed two integrated geospatial models that describe the active layer, the configuration of the palsa frozen core, and its thermal state and identify the zones of the most intense thawing. These observations revealed a significant thermal effect of the groundwater flow and its critical role in the palsas segmentation and rapid collapse. We have investigated a regulating effect of micromorphological features of palsa mounds such as heights, slope, depressions, and mire mineral bed through groundwater drainage. As a result, two new scenarios for the palsa degradation process have been developed, emphasizing the influence of environmental factors on the permafrost condition.
Estimating Top-of-Atmosphere (TOA) flux and radiance is essential for understanding Earth's radiation budget and climate dynamics. This study utilized polar nephelometer measurements of aerosol scattering coefficients at 17 angles (9-170 degrees), enabling the experimental determination of aerosol phase functions and the calculation of Legendre moments. These moments were then used to estimate TOA flux and radiance. Conducted at a tropical coastal site in India, the study observed significant seasonal and diurnal variations in angular scattering patterns, with the highest scattering during winter and the lowest during the monsoon. Notably, a prominent secondary scattering mode, with varying magnitude across different seasons, was observed in the 20-30 degrees angular range, highlighting the influence of different air masses and aerosol sources. Chemical analysis of size-segregated aerosols revealed that fine-mode aerosols were dominated by anthropogenic species, such as sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium, throughout all seasons. In contrast, coarse-mode aerosols showed a clear presence of sea-salt aerosols during the monsoon and mineral dust during the pre-monsoon periods. The presence of very large coarse-mode non-spherical aerosols caused increased oscillations in the phase function beyond 60 degrees during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. This also led to a weak association between the phase function derived from angular scattering measurements and those predicted by the Henyey-Greenstein approximation. As a result, TOA fluxes and radiances derived using the Henyey-Greenstein approximation (with the asymmetry parameter as input in the radiative transfer model) showed a significant difference- up to 24% in seasons with substantial coarse-mode aerosol presence- compared to those derived using the Legendre moments of the phase function. Therefore, TOA flux and radiance estimates using Legendre moments are generally more accurate in the presence of complex aerosol scattering characteristics, particularly for non-spherical or coarse-mode aerosols, while the Henyey-Greenstein phase function may yield less accurate results due to its simplified representation of scattering behavior.
Frozen soil resistivity exhibits high sensitivity to temperature variations and ice-water distribution. The conversion of soil water content (SWC) and resistivity based on petrophysical relationships enables the characterization of spatial distribution and changes in freezing and thawing states. Monitoring ground resistivity is essential for understanding frozen soil structure and evaluating climate change and ecosystems. The previous studies demonstrate that estimating soil resistivity below zero degrees based on the empirical model has significant errors. This work proposes a capillary bundle fractal model for frozen soil resistivity estimation based on SWC hydrologic parameters. The fractal theory describes the geoelectrical features of frozen porous media through the variable pore geometry and representative elementary volume. The sensitivity analysis discusses the potential relationships between pore parameters, conductance components, and fractal geometric parameters within frozen soil resistivity and reconstructs the hysteresis separation of freeze-thaw processes. The field test application in the seasonal freeze-thaw monitoring site demonstrates that the estimated resistivity and experimental samples are consistent with the field monitoring resistivity data. By combining unified conceptual assumptions, we established the connection between electrical permeability and thermal conductivity, offering a basis for exploring coupled hydro-thermal mechanisms in frozen soil. The proposed model accurately estimates the variations in seasonal frozen resistivity, providing a reliable reference for quantitatively analyzing the mechanisms of freeze-thaw processes.
Climate change drives disturbance in hydrology and geomorphology in terrestrial polar landscapes underlain by permafrost, yet measurements of, and theories to understand, these changes are limited. Water flowing from permafrost hillslopes to channels is often modulated by water tracks, zones of enhanced soil moisture in unchannelized depressions that concentrate water flow downslope. Water tracks, which dominate hillslope hydrology in some permafrost landscapes, lack a consistent definition and identification method, and their global occurrence, morphology, climate relationships, and geomorphic roles remain understudied despite their role in the permafrost carbon cycle. Combining a literature review with a synthesis of prior work, we identify uniting and distinguishing characteristics between water tracks from disparate polar sites with a toolkit for future field and remotely sensed identification of water tracks. We place previous studies within a quantitative framework of top-down climate and bottom-up geology controls on track morphology and hydrogeomorphic function. We find the term water track is applied to a broad category of concentrated suprapermafrost flowpaths exhibiting varying morphology, degrees of self-organization, hydraulic characteristics, subsurface composition, vegetation, relationships to thaw tables, and stream order/hillslope position. We propose that the widespread occurrence of water tracks on both poles across varying geologic, ecologic, and climatic factors implies that water tracks are in dynamic equilibrium with the permafrost environment but that they may experience change as the climate continues to warm. Current knowledge gaps include these features' trajectories in the face of ongoing climate change and their role as an analog landform for an active Martian hydrosphere.
The Tibetan Plateau, a critical region influencing both local and global atmospheric circulation, climate dynamics, hydrology and terrestrial ecosystems, is undergoing climate-driven changes, including glacial retreat, permafrost thaw and groundwater changes. Despite its importance, implementing continuous and systematic observations has been challenging due to the area's high altitude and extreme climate conditions. In this context, seismic interferometry emerges as a cost-effective method for the continuous monitoring of subsurface structural changes driven by environmental factors and internal geophysical processes. We investigate subsurface evolution using four years of seismic data from nine stations on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau, by applying coda wave interferometry across multiple frequency bands. Our findings highlight seismic velocity changes within the frequency bands 5-10, 0.77-1.54, and 0.25-0.51 Hz, revealing depth-dependent seasonal and long-term changes. Near-surface and deeper strata exhibit similar seasonal patterns, with velocities increasing in winter and decreasing in summer driven by changes in hydrological processes, while intermediate ice-water phase strata show contrasting behaviour due to thermal elastic strain. Long-term trends suggest that the upper subsurface layer is affected by melting water and precipitation originating from Kunlun Mountains, whereas deeper layer reflect groundwater level variations influenced by climate change and human activities. This study provides insights into the environmental evolution of the Tibetan Plateau and its impact on managing local groundwater resources.
Precipitation comes in various phases, including rainfall, snowfall, sleet, and hail. Shifts of precipitation phases, as well as changes in precipitation amount, intensity, and frequency, have significant impacts on regional climate, hydrology, ecology, and the energy balance of the land-atmosphere system. Over the past century, certain progress has been achieved in aspects such as the observation, discrimination, transformation, and impact of precipitation phases. Mainly including: since the 1980s, studies on the observation, formation mechanism, and prediction of precipitation phases have gradually received greater attention and reached a certain scale. The estimation of different precipitation phases using new detection theories and methods has become a research focus. A variety of discrimination methods or schemes, such as the potential thickness threshold method of the air layer, the temperature threshold method of the characteristic layer, and the near-surface air temperature threshold method, have emerged one after another. Meanwhile, comparative studies on the discrimination accuracy and applicability assessment of multiple methods or schemes have also been carried out simultaneously. In recent years, the shift of precipitation from solid to liquid (SPSL) in the mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere has become more pronounced due to global warming and human activities. It leads to an increase in rain-on-snow (ROS) events and avalanche disasters, affecting the speed, intensity, and duration of spring snow-melting, accelerating sea ice and glacier melting, releasing carbon from permafrost, altering soil moisture, productivity, and phenological characteristics of ecosystems, and thereby affecting their structures, processes, qualities, and service functions. Although some progress has been made in the study of precipitation phases, there remains considerable research potential in terms of completeness of basic data, reliability of discrimination schemes, and the mechanistic understanding of the interaction between SPSL and other elements or systems. The study on shifts of precipitation phases and their impacts will play an increasingly important role in assessing the impacts of global climate change, water cycle processes, water resources management, snow and ice processes, snow and ice-related disasters, carbon emissions from permafrost, and ecosystem safety.
Understanding the dynamics of soil respiration (Rs) in response to freeze-thaw cycles is crucial due to permafrost degradation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). We conducted continuous in situ observations of Rs using an Li-8150 automated soil CO2 flux system, categorizing the freeze-thaw cycle into four stages: completely thawed (CT), autumn freeze-thaw (AFT), completely frozen (CF), and spring freeze-thaw (SFT). Our results revealed distinct differences in Rs magnitudes, diurnal patterns, and controlling factors across these stages, attributed to varying thermal regimes. The mean Rs values were as follows: 2.51 (1.10) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (CT), 0.37 (0.04) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (AFT), 0.19 (0.06) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (CF), and 0.68 (0.19) mu mol center dot m(-2)center dot s(-1) (SFT). Cumulatively, the Rs contributions to annual totals were 89.32% (CT), 0.79% (AFT), 5.01% (CF), and 4.88% (SFT). Notably, the temperature sensitivity (Q10) value during SFT was 2.79 times greater than that in CT (4.63), underscoring the significance of CO2 emissions during spring warming. Soil temperature was the primary driver of Rs in the CT stage, while soil moisture at 5 cm depth and solar radiation significantly influenced Rs during SFT. Our findings suggest that global warming will alter seasonal Rs patterns as freeze-thaw phases evolve, emphasizing the need to monitor CO2 emissions from alpine meadow ecosystems during spring.
In this study, we used satellite observations to identify 10 typical dust-loading events over the Indian Himalayas. Next, the aerosol microphysical and optical properties during these identified dust storms are characterized using cotemporal in situ measurements over Mukteshwar, a representative site in Indian Himalayas. Relative to the background values, the mass of coarse particles (size range between 2.5 and 10 mu m) and the extinction coefficient were found to be enhanced by 400% (from 24 +/- 15 to 98 +/- 40 mu g/m3) and 175% (from 89 +/- 57 Mm-1 to 156 +/- 79 Mm-1), respectively, during these premonsoonal dust-loading events. Moreover, based on the air mass trajectory, these dust storms can be categorized into two categories: (a) mineral dust events (MDEs), which involve long-range transported dust plumes traversing through the lower troposphere to reach the Himalayas and (b) polluted dust events (PDEs), which involve short-range transported dust plumes originating from the arid western regions of the Indian subcontinent and traveling within the heavily polluted boundary layer of the Gangetic plains before reaching the Himalayas. Interestingly, compared to the background, the SSA and AAE decrease during PDEs but increase during MDEs. More importantly, we observe a twofold increase in black carbon concentrations and the aerosol absorption coefficient (relative to the background values) during the PDEs with negligible changes during MDEs. Consequently, the aerosol-induced snow albedo reduction (SAR) also doubles during MDEs and PDEs relative to background conditions. Thus, our findings provide robust observational evidence of substantial dust-induced snow and glacier melting over the Himalayas.
The freeze-thaw cycle of near-surface soils significantly affects energy and water exchanges between the atmosphere and land surface. Passive microwave remote sensing is commonly used to observe the freeze-thaw state. However, existing algorithms face challenges in accurately monitoring near-surface soil freeze/thaw in alpine zones. This article proposes a framework for enhancing freeze/thaw detection capability in alpine zones, focusing on band combination selection and parameterization. The proposed framework was tested in the three river source region (TRSR) of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Results indicate that the framework effectively monitors the freeze/thaw state, identifying horizontal polarization brightness temperature at 18.7 GHz (TB18.7H) and 23.8 GHz (TB23.8H) as the optimal band combinations for freeze/thaw discrimination in the TRSR. The framework enhances the accuracy of the freeze/thaw discrimination for both 0 and 5-cm soil depths. In particular, the monitoring accuracy for 0-cm soil shows a more significant improvement, with an overall discrimination accuracy of 90.02%, and discrimination accuracies of 93.52% for frozen soil and 84.68% for thawed soil, respectively. Furthermore, the framework outperformed traditional methods in monitoring the freeze-thaw cycle, reducing root mean square errors for the number of freezing days, initial freezing date, and thawing date by 16.75, 6.35, and 12.56 days, respectively. The estimated frozen days correlate well with both the permafrost distribution map and the annual mean ground temperature distribution map. This study offers a practical solution for monitoring the freeze/thaw cycle in alpine zones, providing crucial technical support for studies on regional climate change and land surface processes.
In permafrost regions, vegetation growth is influenced by both climate conditions and the effects of permafrost degradation. Climate factors affect multiple aspects of the environment, while permafrost degradation has a significant impact on soil moisture and nutrient availability, both of which are crucial for ecosystem health and vegetation growth. However, the quantitative analysis of climate and permafrost remains largely unknown, hindering our ability to predict future vegetation changes in permafrost regions. Here, we used statistical methods to analyze the NDVI change in the permafrost region from 1982 to 2022. We employed correlation analysis, multiple regression residual analysis and partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) methods to examine the impacts of different environmental factors on NDVI changes. The results show that the average NDVI in the study area from 1982 to 2022 is 0.39, with NDVI values in 80% of the area remaining stable or exhibiting an increasing trend. NDVI had the highest correlation with air temperature, averaging 0.32, with active layer thickness coming in second at 0.25. Climate change plays a dominant role in NDVI variations, with a relative contribution rate of 89.6%. The changes in NDVI are positively influenced by air temperature, with correlation coefficients of 0.92. Although the active layer thickness accounted for only 7% of the NDVI changes, its influence demonstrated an increasing trend from 1982 to 2022. Overall, our results suggest that temperature is the primary factor influencing NDVI variations in this region.