This study quantifies the seismic fragility assessment of shallow-founded buildings in liquefiable and treated soils, enhanced by drainage and densification, considering both short-and long-term behaviors. A conceptual framework is proposed for developing seismic fragility curves based on engineering demand parameters (EDPs) of buildings subjected to various earthquake magnitudes. The framework for establishing seismic fragility curves involves three essential steps. First, nonlinear dynamic analyses of soil-building systems are performed to assess both the short-term response, which occurs immediately following an earthquake, and the longterm response, when excess pore water pressure completely dissipates, and generate a dataset of building settlements. The seismic responses are compared in terms of excess pore water pressure buildup, immediate and residual ground deformation, and building settlement to explore the dynamic mechanisms of soil-building systems and evaluate the performance of enhanced drainage and densification over short-and long-term periods. Second, 38 commonly used and newly proposed intensity measures (IMs) of ground motions (GMs) are comprehensively evaluated using five statistical measures, such as correlation, efficiency, practicality, proficiency, and sufficiency, to identify optimal IMs of GMs. Third, fragility curves are developed to quantify probability of exceeding various capacity limit states, based on structural damage observed in Taiwan, for both liquefaction-induced immediate and residual settlements of buildings under different levels of IMs. Overall, this study proposes a rapid and straightforward probabilistic assessment approach for buildings in liquefiable soils, along with remedial countermeasures to enhance seismic resilience.
Selecting the optimal intensity measure (IM) is essential for accurately assessing the seismic performance of the submarine shield tunnels in the layered liquefiable seabed. However, current research relies on simplistic ranking or filtering methods that neglect the different contributions of each evaluation criterion on IM's overall performance. To address this, this study begins by developing a numerical simulation method for nonlinear dynamic analysis, considering joint deformation, ocean environmental loads, and soil liquefaction, which is validated by experimental and theoretical methods. Subsequently, a fuzzy multiple criteria decision-making (FMCDM) method based on fuzzy probabilistic seismic demand models (FPSDM) is proposed, which integrates the fuzzy analytical hierarchical process (FAHP) for calculating weights and the fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (FTOPSIS) for ranking IM alternatives. Finally, tunnel damage is classified into four states employing joint opening as the index for measuring damage, then the seismic fragility analysis is conducted. The results indicate that the optimal IM of a submarine shield tunnel situated in layered liquefiable seabed is sustained maximum velocity (SMV). Furthermore, the comparison between the fragility curves established using SMV and peak ground acceleration (PGA) reveals PGA, a frequently employed IM, notably undervaluing the seismic hazard.
Seismic risk assessment is pivotal for ensuring the reliability of prefabricated subway stations, where selecting optimal intensity measures (IMs) critically enhances probabilistic seismic demand models and fragility analysis. While peak ground acceleration (PGA) is widely adopted for above-ground structures, its suitability for underground systems remains debated due to distinct dynamic behaviors. This study identifies the most appropriate IMs for soft soil-embedded prefabricated subway stations at varying depths through nonlinear finite element modeling and develops corresponding fragility curves. A soil-structure interaction model was developed to systematically compare seismic responses of shallow-buried, medium-buried, and deep-buried stations under diverse intensities. Incremental dynamic analysis was employed to construct probabilistic demand models, while candidate IMs (PGA, PGV, and vrms) were evaluated using a multi-criteria framework assessing correlation, efficiency, practicality, and proficiency. The results demonstrate that burial depth significantly influences IM selection: PGA performs optimally for shallow depths, peak ground velocity (PGV) excels for medium depths, and root mean square velocity (vrms) proves most effective for deep-buried stations. Based on these optimized IMs, seismic fragility curves were generated, quantifying damage probability characteristics across burial conditions. The study provides a transferable IM selection methodology, advancing seismic risk assessment accuracy for prefabricated underground infrastructure. Through a systematic investigation of the correlation between IM applicability and burial depth, coupled with the development of fragility relationships, this study establishes a robust technical framework for enhancing the seismic performance of subway stations, and provides valuable insights for seismic risk assessment methodologies in underground infrastructure systems.
In the processes of seismic design of underground structures, selecting a reasonable input ground motion is very important, which can cause severe damage to underground structures. To quantitatively evaluate the seismic damage potential of ground motions on multi-storey underground structures and solve the problem that single intensity measures are inadequate in accurately indicating the seismic damage potential of ground motions, this paper taking the input ground motions in the seismic design of underground structures as the research object, and constructing some composite intensity measures that can effectively characterize the damage potential of input ground motion. Firstly, considering that the underground structures in different characteristic period-type sites will exhibit different seismic responses under the same excitation, the soil-structure system is divided into four-period bands. Then, four representative periods are selected from four-period bands respectively, and the corresponding four soil-structure system numerical models are established. Subsequently, 40 ground motions are selected for elastoplastic numerical analysis, and the results of the numerical analysis were used as sample data to construct composite intensity measures corresponding to soil-structure systems in each period band using the partial least squares regression method. Finally, 100 additional ground motions were used to verify the correlation between the composite intensity measures and the seismic damage of underground structures. The results show that the correlation coefficient between the composite intensity measures and the seismic damage of multi-storey underground structures is better than those of commonly used single intensity measures.
Most natural granular deposits are spatially variable due to heterogeneities in soil hydraulic conductivity, layer thickness, relative density, and continuity. However, existing simplified liquefaction evaluation procedures treat each susceptible layer as homogeneous and in isolation, neglecting water flow patterns and displacement mechanisms that result from interactions among soil layers, the groundwater table, foundation, and structure. In this paper, three-dimensional, fully coupled, nonlinear, dynamic finite-element analyses, validated with centrifuge experimental results, are used to evaluate the influence of stratigraphic layering, depth to the groundwater table, and foundation-structure properties on system performance. The ejecta potential index (EPI) serves as a proxy for surface ejecta severity within each soil profile. The results reveal that among all the engineering demand parameters (EDPs) and geotechnical liquefaction indices considered, only EPI predicted a substantial change in the surface manifestation of liquefaction due to changes in the location of the groundwater table and soil stratigraphy. This trend better follows the patterns from case history observations, indicating the value of EPI. Profiles with multiple critical liquefiable layers at greater depths resulted in base isolation and reduced permanent foundation settlement. Ground motion characteristics have the highest influence on EDPs, among the properties considered. The outcropping rock motion intensity measures with the best combination of efficiency, sufficiency, and predictability were identified as cumulative absolute velocity (for predicting foundation's permanent settlement and free-field EPI) and peak ground velocity (for peak excess porepressure ratio). These results underscore the importance of careful field characterization of stratigraphic layering in relation to the foundation and structural properties to evaluate the potential liquefaction deformation and damage mechanisms. The results also indicate that incorporating EPI alongside traditional EDPs shows promise.
Large diameter shield tunnels traversing liquefiable soil-rock strata are highly susceptible to seismic hazards, as earthquake-induced soil liquefaction significantly reduces soil strength and stiffness. Therefore, it is crucial to accurately assess the seismic performance of these tunnels. This study first establishes a numerical model for tunnel seismic response analysis, considering soil liquefaction, segment nonlinearity, and joint deformation. The validity of the model is affirmed through experimental, theoretical, and additional numerical simulations. The probabilistic seismic demand models are established employing the seismic database consisting of 120 ground motion records. Subsequently, a quantitative selection method for the optimal Intensity Measure (IM) based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is proposed, identifying Velocity Spectrum Intensity (VSI) as the most suitable among 29 commonly used IMs, and the IMs related to duration exhibit poor performance. The study then categorizes tunnel damage into three states: minor, moderate, and extensive, using joint opening as the damage measure. Finally, seismic fragility analysis is employed to assess seismic performance of tunnel, and fragility curves derived using VSI and Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is compared. The results indicate that PGA, a commonly used IM, significantly underestimates the probability of damage to the tunnel, with a maximum underestimation of 22.4%.
Tunnels are of significant importance in the sustainable development of global urban areas, particularly in metropolitan areas. It is of the utmost importance to evaluate the seismic performance of tunnels across a wide spectrum of earthquake intensities. In order to address this, our study presents a framework for the assessment of seismic risk in tunnels. This study employs the city of Shanghai's urban metro tunnels as case studies. The nominal values of seismic risk for the three main damage states-minor, moderate, and major-were calculated. Furthermore, the influence of utilizing disparate fragility functions on expected seismic risk assessments was investigated. In this framework, the probability density functions of the different fragility curve models are employed to treat the probability values associated with them as random variables. This approach aims to facilitate the propagation of IMV in seismic risk assessments. The results demonstrate that the Bayesian framework efficiently incorporates the full range of input model variability into risk estimation. The findings of this study offer a foundation for decision-making processes, seismic risk assessments, and the resilience management of urban infrastructure.
Liquefaction-induced settlement of shallow foundations is the result of bearing capacity failure in undrained conditions and sedimentary settlement during the post-liquefaction process. The bearing capacity of a shallow foundation is highly dependent on the size and dimensions of its footprint. In addition, the reduction in shear strength in liquefiable soil, a key parameter for estimating bearing capacity, depends on the excess pore water pressure generated during an earthquake. This study aims to investigate the impact of earthquake motion on the extent of liquefaction-induced settlement in shallow foundations. A parametric study was conducted by varying the input earthquake motions in a three-dimensional response history analysis to directly consider the interaction between the soil and superstructures. The numerical analysis model constructed for the parametric study was rigorously calibrated using a reference dynamic centrifuge test in a prototype scale. The effects of the horizontal boundary and drainage conditions in the numerical model were closely examined during calibration. The parametric study results indicate that the intensity measures of an earthquake, which quantify the energy associated with the number of reversals, exhibit a close correlation with the resulting liquefaction-induced settlement as opposed to other conventional earthquake motion parameters, such as peak acceleration, magnitude, and frequency.
Seismic intensity measures (IMs) can directly affect the seismic risk assessment and the response characteristics of underground structures, especially when considering the key variable of burial depth. This means that the optimal seismic IMs must be selected to match the underground structure under different buried depth conditions. In the field of seismic engineering design, peak ground acceleration (PGA) is widely recognized as the optimal IM, especially in the seismic design code for aboveground structures. However, for the seismic evaluation of underground structures, the applicability and effectiveness still face certain doubts and discussions. In addition, the adverse effects of earthquakes on tunnels in soft soil are particularly prominent. This study aims to determine the optimal IMs applicable to different burial depths for horseshoe-shaped tunnels in soft soil using a nonlinear dynamic time history analysis method, and based on this, establish the seismic fragility curves that can accurately predict the probability of tunnel damage. The nonlinear finite element analysis model for the soil-tunnel interaction system was established. The effects of different burial depths on damage to horseshoe-shaped tunnels in soft soil were systematically studied. By adopting the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method and assessing the correlation, efficiency, practicality, and proficiency of the potential IMs, the optimal IMs were determined. The analysis indicates that PGA emerges as the optimal IM for shallow tunnels, whereas peak ground velocity (PGV) stands as the optimal IM for medium-depth tunnels. Furthermore, for deep tunnels, velocity spectral intensity (VSI) emerges as the optimal IM. Finally, the seismic fragility curves for horseshoe-shaped tunnels in soft soil were built. The proposed fragility curves can provide a quantitative tool for evaluating seismic disaster risk, and are of great significance for improving the overall seismic resistance and disaster resilience of society.
In earthquake-resistant design, amplitude and frequency content of ground motions (GMs) have been considered using spectral matching techniques; however, duration effects remain insufficiently explored in designing buildings in liquefiable soils. This study investigates the influence of ground-motion duration on seismic response of shallow-founded buildings under strong earthquakes. Buildings in liquefiable soils are analyzed using nonlinear dynamic analysis with coupled u-p formulations. The numerical code and calibrated constitutive parameters of Toyoura sand are validated through dynamic centrifuge testing. Two ground-motion suites, including 30 pairs of long and short-duration events, are scaled to the target PGA of 0.3 g, and then selected to be spectrally equivalent to isolate duration measures from the others. Comparative results show that longer duration events result in greater settlements and tilt compared to shorter events. Therefore, this study emphasizes the importance of considering duration measures in assessing seismic responses of buildings. Furthermore, correlation between settlements and peak transient tilt, and intensity measures (IMs) of GMs are comprehensively analyzed. It is found that employing compound IMs can lead to notable improvements in predictive accuracy for settlement and peak transient tilt compared to single common IMs. The compound IMs, namely CAV2/3 x Ds5-951/3 and SMV x Ds5-95 3, are newly proposed for use in order to achieve best correlation with the shear-induced settlements and peak transient tilt, respectively.