Permafrost is strongly associated with human well-being and has become a frontier of cryospheric science. Professor Guodong Cheng is one of the most outstanding geocryologists in China. He was elected as an academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in 1993 and served as the president of the International Permafrost Association from 1993-1998. In the early 1980s, Professor Cheng proposed the hypothesis of the repeated-segregation mechanism for the formation of thick-layered ground ice near the permafrost table. Subsequently, in the early 2000s, he proposed the proactive roadbed cooling concept and led the successful development of a series of specific engineering measures that were fully applied in the Qinghai-Tibet Railway Project. Furthermore, he developed a conceptual model to describe the influences of changing permafrost on the groundwater system and discovered the sink-holing effect (channeling with improved hydraulic conductivity of warming permafrost). Professor Cheng has also developed theories on the three-dimensional zonation and proposed a classification system and an altitude model for high-altitude permafrost distribution. On this special occasion of Professor Cheng's 80th birthday, this paper summarizes his outstanding achievements on permafrost science, hoping the permafrost research community will carry forward the momentum to further advance permafrost science worldwide.
Global warming and algal blooms have been two of the most pressing problems faced by the world today. In recent decades, numerous studies indicated that global warming promoted the expansion of algal blooms. However, research on how algal blooms respond to global warming is scant. Global warming coupled with eutrophication promoted the rapid growth of phytoplankton, which resulted in an expansion of algal blooms. Algal blooms are affected by the combined effects of global warming, including increases in temperatures, CO2 concentration, and nutrient input to aquatic systems by extreme weather events. Since the growth of phytoplankton requires CO2, they appear to act as a carbon sink. Unfortunately, algal blooms will release CH4, CO2, and inorganic nitrogen when they die and decompose. As substrate nitrogen increases from decompose algal biomass, more N2O will be released by nitrification and denitrification. In comparison to CO2, CH4 has 28-fold and N2O has 265-fold greenhouse effect. Moreover, algal blooms in the polar regions may contribute to melting glaciers and sea ice (will release greenhouse gas, which contribute to global warming) by reducing surface albedo, which consequently would accelerate global warming. Thus, algal blooms and global warming could form feedback loops which prevent human survival and development. Future researches shall examine the mechanism, trend, strength, and control strategies involved in this mutual feedback. Additionally, it will promote global projects of environmental protection combining governance greenhouse gas emissions and algal blooms, to form a geoengineering for regulating the cycles of carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus.
With the global warming, the permafrost on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) is degrading significantly, which brings potential threats to the major engineering projects built in or on it, e. g., the Qinghai-Tibet Highway, Qinghai-Tibet Railway, and Xinjiang-Tibet Highway. This study uses advanced survey and statistical methods to reveal the spatial distribution characteristics, development patterns, influencing factors, and formation mechanisms of the damages on the pavement induced by permafrost thawing and freeze-thaw cycles to identify their development process, evolution patterns, and different types of underlying permafrost. This will provide suggestions and guidance to the relevant departments in the decision-making, planning, design, and construction and maintenance of the running or future engineering projects on the QTP.
Climate warming leads to the aggravation of infrastructures and environmental risks in permafrost regions. There are few reports about the interaction between airport runway and permafrost foundation. Based on long term field monitoring, remote sensing and comparative analysis approaches, our study quantitatively investigates the impacts of runway and climate on permafrost in northernmost China, and also the engineering problems are analyzed. Results show that the atmospheric inversion in winter controls the regional permafrost distribution in the study area. Ground surface warmed significantly after vegetation removal because of the runway construction. The maximum temperature difference among the forest, the swamp and the bared gravel can reach to 30 degrees C in summer. Such surface alterations caused abnormally rapid degradation of permafrost within the context of climate warming. The rate of permafrost table deepening varies from 0.461 to 0.590 m/a over the 2007-2017 periods. Also, the annual mean ground temperature at the 13 m depth increased at a rate of 0.054-0.130 degrees C /a. Its annual increase value is 0 similar to 0.47 degrees C with an average 0.108 +/- 0.124 degrees C. In turn, permafrost degradation caused runway safety problems, such as the decrease of bearing capacity, increase of longitudinal slope, decrease of planeness, pavement cracks, density decrease of the foundation and cement concrete pavement cavity. However, in the natural places, the permafrost remained relatively stable and didn't show a continued degradation trend. The permafrost table fluctuated with air temperature changes. Its interannual fluctuation range is 0 similar to 0.25 m, with an average 0.08 +/- 0.08 m. The interannual fluctuation range of ground temperature at the depth of 13 m is 0.01 similar to 0.10 degrees C, with an average 0.06 +/- 0.03 degrees C. In addition, the zero curtain phenomena were observed at the study site. Once the zero curtain periods were over, the ground temperature warmed rapidly. These findings have positive implication for new runway design in permafrost regions.
Climate change has a detrimental impact on permafrost soil in cold regions, resulting in the thawing of permafrost and causing instability and security issues in infrastructure, as well as settlement problems in pavement engineering. To address these challenges, concrete pipe pile foundations have emerged as a viable solution for reinforcing the subgrade and mitigating settlement in isolated permafrost areas. However, the effectiveness of these foundations depends greatly on the mechanical properties of the interface between the permafrost soil and the pipe, which are strongly influenced by varying thawing conditions. While previous studies have primarily focused on the interface under frozen conditions, this paper specifically investigates the interface under thawing conditions. In this study, direct shear tests were conducted to examine the damage characteristics and shear mechanical properties of the soil-pile interface with a water content of 26% at temperatures of -3 degrees C, -2 degrees C, -1 degrees C, -0.5 degrees C, and 8 degrees C. The influence of different degrees of melting on the stress-strain characteristics of the soil-pile interface was also analyzed. The findings reveal that as the temperature increases, the shear strength of the interface decreases. The shear stress-displacement curve of the soil-pile interface in the thawing state exhibits a strain-softening trend and can be divided into three stages: the pre-peak shear stress growth stage, the post-peak shear stress steep drop stage, and the post-peak shear stress reconstruction stage. In contrast, the stress curve in the thawed state demonstrates a strain-hardening trend. The study further highlights that violent phase changes in the ice crystal structure have a significant impact on the peak freezing strength and residual freezing strength at the soil-pile interface, with these strengths decreasing as the temperature rises. Additionally, the cohesion and internal friction angle at the soil-pile interface decrease with increasing temperature. It can be concluded that the mechanical strength of the soil-pile interface, crucial for subgrade reinforcement in permafrost areas within transportation engineering, is greatly influenced by temperature-induced changes in the ice crystal structure.
With the expansion of engineering activities, numerous major projects are gradually emerging in frozen soil regions. However, due to the unique engineering properties of frozen soil, various frozen soil engineering di-sasters have occurred or accelerated under the conditions of global warming, posing a serious threat to the project operation, environmental and ecological protection, and humanity development. This paper summarizes the formation conditions of frozen soil engineering disasters from the perspectives of thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical factors based on existing research. The definition, development trend and characteristics of thawing disaster, frost heaving disaster and freeze-thaw disaster are generalized. The main prevention measures are summarized based on the thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical conditions that cause frozen soil engineering di-sasters. Research suggestions on frozen soil engineering disasters including the engineering disaster mechanism under the frozen soil degradation and multi-hazard risk assessment are proposed. It may provide some references for the harmonious coexistence and sustainable development of engineering construction and geological envi-ronment in frozen soil area.
This paper takes the representative buried structure in permafrost regions, a transmission line tower foundation, as the research object. An inverse prediction is conducted in a scaled-down experimental system mimicking actual heat conduction of the frozen ground in a tower foundation. In permafrost regions, global warming and the heat transfer through the buried structures bring significantly adverse thermal effects on the stability of the infrastructures. In modeling the thermal effects, it has been a challenge to determine the ground surface boundary condition and heat source strength from the buried structures due to the complex climate and environmental conditions. In this work, based on the improved model predictive inverse method with an adaptive strategy, an inverse scheme is successfully implemented to simultaneously identify the time-varying surface temperature and the time-space-dependent heat source representing the buried structures. In this scheme, an adaptive time-varying predictive model is established by the rolling update of the sensitivity response coefficients according to the predicted temperature field to overcome the influence of nonlinear characteristics in the heat transfer process. The inverse method is verified by simulation and experimental data. According to the experimental inversion results, the reconstructed temperature distribution efficiently predicts the thermal state evolution of the permafrost foundation under seasonal freezing and thawing. It is found that, under the experimental conditions, the intensified thawing and freezing are significantly severe, e.g., the increased area ratio of active layer thickness is as high as 28% after building a tower, and the depth of permafrost table ranges from about 14 mm to about 38 mm, which could be detrimental to the stability and safety of the tower foundation. This study will provide valuable guidance for risk assessments or optimizing the design and maintenance of the real tower foundation and similar buried structures.
It is proposed to build a high-speed railway through the China -Mongolia -Russia economic corridor (CMREC) which runs from Beijing to Moscow via Mongolia. However, the frozen ground in this corridor has great impacts on the infrastructure stability, especially under the background of climate warming and permafrost degradation. Based on the Bayesian Network Model (BNM), this study evaluates the suitability for engineering construction in the CMREC, by using 21 factors in five aspects of terrain, climate, ecology, soil, and frozen-ground thermal stability. The results showed that the corridor of Mongolia's Gobi and Inner Mongolia in China is suitable for engineering construction, and the corridor in Amur, Russia near the northern part of Northeast China is also suitable due to cold and stable permafrost overlaying by a thin active layer. However, the corridor near Petropavlovsk in Kazakhstan and Omsk in Russia is not suitable for engineering construction because of low freezing index and ecological vulnerability. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis of influence factors indicates that the thermal stability of frozen ground has the greatest impact on the suitability of engineering construction. These conclusions can provide a reference basis for the future engineering planning, construction and risk assessment.
The freezing index (FI) is an important index used in investigations of climate change, frozen ground degradation and frost heave resistance engineering design. In view of the fact that the deterministic effects of latitude and elevation are not considered in the frequency calculation of FI, we proposed an index-freezing method that considers the certainty effects of both elevation and latitude by referring to the index-flood method in this paper. The correlations between the FI and certainty factors (elevation and latitude) were obtained by multiple regression analysis. The effects of latitude and elevation were then removed by nondimensionalisation, and dimensionless FI sequences were subsequently obtained. Finally, the index-freezing method was verified by regional probability analysis. Using the daily average temperature data recorded at 10 major meteorological stations over the 1960-2020 period in Ningxia, the calculation process of the FI and its frequency distribution were provided. The results showed that the proposed FI method can not only remove the certainty effects of elevation and latitude but can also consider the uncertainty associated with interannual FI variations, thus providing more scientific, reasonable and accurate results. The generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution is the optimal frequency distribution of the nondimensional regional FI. The estimation errors of the missing data tests were mostly within 10%, and the residual sum of squares (RSS) and root-mean-square error (RMSE) values were also lower than those obtained through spatial interpolation, thus indicating that the interpolation preci-sion of the proposed FI method was optimal.
Active layer thickness (ALT) is a sensitive indicator of response to climate change. ALT has important influence on various aspects of the regional environment such as hydrological processes and vegetation. In this study, 57 ground-penetrating radar (GPR) sections were surveyed along the Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor (QTEC) during 2018-2021, covering a total length of 58.5 km. The suitability of GPR-derived ALT was evaluated using in situ measurements and reference datasets, for which the bias and root mean square error were approximately -0.16 and 0.43 m, respectively. The GPR results show that the QTEC ALT was in the range of 1.25-6.70 m (mean: 2.49 +/- 0.57 m). Observed ALT demonstrated pronounced spatial variability at both regional and fine scales. We developed a statistical estimation model that explicitly considers the soil thermal regime (i.e., ground thawing index, TIg), soil properties, and vegetation. This model was found suitable for simulating ALT over the QTEC, and it could explain 52% (R-2 = 0.52) of ALT variability. The statistical model shows that a difference of 10 degrees C.d in root TIg is equivalent to a change of 0.67 m in ALT, and an increase of 0.1 in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is equivalent to a decrease of 0.23 m in ALT. The fine-scale (<1 km) variation in ALT could account for 77.6% of the regional-scale (approximately 550 km) variation. These results provide a timely ALT benchmark along the QTEC, which can inform the construction and maintenance of engineering facilities along the QTEC.