Shallow landslides are often unpredictable and seriously threaten surrounding infrastructure and the ecological environment. Traditional landslide prediction methods are time-consuming, labor-intensive, and inaccurate. Thus, there is an urgent need to enhance predictive techniques. To accurately predict the runout distance of shallow landslides, this study focuses on a shallow soil landslide in Tongnan District, Chongqing Municipality. We employ a genetic algorithm (GA) to identify the most hazardous sliding surface through multi-iteration optimization. We discretize the landslide body into slice units using the dynamic slicing method (DSM) to estimate the runout distance. The model's effectiveness is evaluated based on the relative errors between predicted and actual values, exploring the effects of soil moisture content and slice number on the kinematic model. The results show that under saturated soil conditions, the GA-identified hazardous sliding surface closely matches the actual surface, with a stability coefficient of 0.9888. As the number of slices increases, velocity fluctuations within the slices become more evident. With 100 slices, the predicted movement time of the Tongnan landslide is 12 s, and the runout distance is 5.91 m, with a relative error of about 7.45%, indicating the model's reliability. The GA-DSM method proposed in this study improves the accuracy of landslide runout prediction. It supports the setting of appropriate safety distances and the implementation of preventive engineering measures, such as the construction of retaining walls or drainage systems, to minimize the damage caused by landslides. Moreover, the method provides a comprehensive technical framework for monitoring and early warning of similar geological hazards. It can be extended and optimized for all types of landslides under different terrain and geological conditions. It also promotes landslide prediction theory, which is of high application value and significance for practical use.