In the context of global climate change, changes in unfrozen water content in permafrost significantly impact regional terrestrial plant ecology and engineering stability. Through Differential Scanning Calorimetry (DSC) experiments, this study analyzed the thermal characteristic indicators, including supercooling temperature, freezing temperature, thawing temperature, critical temperature, and phase-transition temperature ranges, for silt loam with varying starting moisture levels throughout the freezing and thawing cycles. With varying starting moisture levels throughout the freezing and thawing cycles, a model describing the connection between soil temperature and variations in unfrozen water content during freeze-thaw cycles was established and corroborated with experimental data. The findings suggest that while freezing, the freezing and supercooling temperatures of unsaturated clay increased with the soil's starting moisture level, while those of saturated clay were less affected by water content. During thawing, the initial thawing temperature of clay was generally below 0 degrees C, and the thawing temperature exhibited a power function relationship with total water content. Model analysis revealed hysteresis effects in the unfrozen water content curve during freeze-thaw cycles. Both the phase-transition temperature range and model parameters were sensitive to temperature changes, indicating that the processes of permafrost freezing and thawing are mainly controlled by ambient temperature changes. The study highlights the stability of the difference between freezing temperature and supercooling temperature in clay during freezing. These results offer a conceptual framework for comprehending the thawing mechanisms of permafrost and analyzing the variations in mechanical properties and terrestrial ecosystems caused by temperature-dependent moisture changes in permafrost.

Permafrost carbon could produce a positive climate feedback. Until now, the ecosystem carbon budgets in the permafrost regions remain uncertain. Moreover, the frequently used models have some limitations especially regarding to the freeze-thaw process. Herein, we improved the IBIS model by incorporating an unfrozen water scheme and by specifying the parameters to estimate the present and future carbon budget of different land cover types (desert steppe, steppe, meadow, and wet meadow) in the permafrost regions. Incorporating an unfrozen water scheme reduced the mean errors in the soil temperature and soil water content by 25.2%, and the specifying leaf area parameters reduced the errors in the net primary productivity (NPP) by 79.9%. Further, the simulation results showed that steppes are carbon sources (39.16 gC/m(2)/a) and the meadows are carbon sinks (-63.42 gC/m(2)/a ). Under the climate warming scenarios of RCP 2.6, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5, the desert steppe and alpine steppe would assimilated more carbon, while the meadow and wet meadow were projected to shift from carbon sinks to carbon sources in 2071-2100, implying that the land cover type plays an important role in simulating the source/sink effects of permafrost ecosystem carbon in the IBIS model. The results highlight the importance of unfrozen water to the soil hydrothermal regime and specific leaf area for the growth of alpine vegetation, and present new insights on the difference of the responses of various permafrost ecosystems to climate warming.