The 2021 Cyclone Seroja was a category 3 storm that made landfall on Lembata Island, causing extensive damage. This study aims to identify key interpretations of sediment transport related to tropical cyclones (TC) Seroja and past floods using a geopedological approach, estimate the return period through frequency analysis, and determine the rainfall threshold for flooding using HEC-RAS software. Extreme rainfall data from global precipitation model (GPM) (2000-2023) in Wei Laing watershed were analysed alongside LiDAR terrain data, physical and chemical properties of soil, and land cover data. Based on geopedological analysis, the result shows that the erosional-transfer zone of Wei Laing Watershed has thin, loamy, and slightly sandy soils due to erosion and limited pedogenesis. The depositional zone contains flood deposits with abrupt vertical texture changes, reflecting transported coarse grains and finer in-situ sediments. The modern flood deposit (TC Seroja flood deposit) was identified by texture, CaCO3 content, organic matter, and coarse organic material. The fine-grained flood deposits (<_ 4 cm) are classified as slackwater deposits, consist of silty clay loam and silt loam textures, reflecting deposition under slow-flowing conditions. TC Seroja corresponds to a 50-year return period. Hydrological modelling indicates a 60 mm/day rainfall threshold for flooding, with 77 flood events recorded between 2000-2023. The model is confirmed by thick past flood deposits enriched with coarse organic materials. These findings provide insight into flood dynamics and sedimentary responses, supporting future flood risk mitigation efforts.
Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose a substantial threat to human life and property, with China being among the most affected countries. In this study, a significant increasing trend is detected for TC destructiveness, primarily measured by precipitation, and for TC-induced damage, measured by direct economic losses (DELs), in the inland areas of East China. In contrast, a similar trend cannot be observed in the coastal regions. The rapid increase of TC-induced damage in the inland areas of East China is directly related to an increase of the annual number of disastrous TCs, which is a result of the increased TC landfall frequency and the increased TC decay timescale after landfall. The increase in specific humidity, soil moisture, and the decrease in vertical wind shear in East China favor the survival of TCs inland. Our results highlight the significance of TC disaster prevention in the inland regions.
After landfall, tropical cyclone (TC) remnants may maintain or even rejuvenate and incur catastrophic disasters. What leads to the revival of TC remnants over land remains elusive. In this study, the revival mechanism of Typhoon Doksuri (2023) remnants is extensively explored. Doksuri brought severe damage to the Chinese mainland after its landfall. The remnants vortex of Doksuri sustained an inland trajectory for 3 days and underwent a total maintenance of 60 h, with a revival of 18 h. Based on multi-source observations and ERA5 reanalysis data, by calculation of moist potential vorticity and analysis of slantwise vorticity development (SVD), this study unveils that while maintaining a significant warm-core structure over the course of maintenance and revival, the Doksuri remnants transported sufficient moisture in the mid-lower troposphere, which intensified the north-south temperature and humidity gradients, causing tilting of the isentropic surfaces remarkably. According to the SVD theory, the tilting gave rise to vorticity development and forced upward air motion on the northern side of the remnant vortex. Moreover, numerical sensitivity experiments based on the WRF model reveal that the topography of Taihang Mountains and the diabatic heating associated with surface and convective latent heat fluxes also played important roles in the revival of the Doksuri remnants. The dynamic and thermodynamic mechanisms derived by this study will help improve understanding and prediction of the disasters induced by TC remnants.
This research comprehensively assesses the aftermath of Cyclonic Storm Mocha, focusing on the coastal zones of Rakhine State and the Chittagong Division, spanning Myanmar and Bangladesh. The investigation emphasizes the impacts on coastal ecology, shoreline dynamics, flooding patterns, and meteorological variations. Employed were multiple vegetation indices-Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Modified Vegetation Condition Index (mVCI), Disaster Vegetation Damage Index (DVDI), and Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC)-to evaluate ecological consequences. The Digital Shoreline Assessment System (DSAS) aided in determining shoreline alterations pre- and post-cyclone. Soil exposure and flood extents were scrutinized using the Bare Soil Index (BSI) and Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI), respectively. Additionally, the study encompassed an analysis of microclimatic variables, comparing meteorological data across pre- and post-cyclone periods. Findings indicate significant ecological impacts: an estimated 8985.46 km2 of dense vegetation (NDVI >0.6) was adversely affected. Post-cyclone, there was a discernible reduction in EVI values. The mean mVCI shifted negatively from -0.18 to -0.33, and the mean FVC decreased from 0.39 to 0.33. The DVDI underscored considerable vegetation damage in various areas, underscoring the cyclone's extensive impact. Meteorological analysis revealed a 245 % increase in rainfall (20.22 mm on May 14, 2023 compared to the May average of 5.86 mm), and significant increases in relative humidity (14 %) and wind speed (205 %). Erosion was observed along 74.60 % of the studied shoreline. These insights are pivotal for developing comprehensive strategies aimed at the rehabilitation and conservation of critical coastal ecosystems. They provide vital data for emergency response initiatives and offer resources for entities engaged in enhancing coastal resilience and protecting local community livelihoods.
Modern forestry research emphasizes infusing management practices with an understanding of natural disturbance regimes-often called ecological forestry. Forestry practices that emulate aspects of natural disturbance regimes are considered an effective approach to balance silvicultural and ecological objectives. Silvicultural research is often available to guide successful regeneration in many forest types, but little information is available about gap patterns from common disturbances in the eastern U.S. like hurricanes. We examined the size, shape, and spatial distribution of canopy gaps formed in a longleaf pine woodland by Hurricane Michael across multiple landscape factors including stand size, composition, and soil types. We found high variation in many gap characteristics but no significant differences in gap size or shape among landscape factors. However, spatial distribution of gaps differed among landscape types in nuanced ways. We also found that stand size complexity may prevent the formation of very large gaps that can disrupt fire continuity in systems managed with frequent fire. The results highlight the ecological importance of hurricane events and provide insight into hurricane gap formation at the landscape scale. The implementation of silviculture practices that emulate a large, rapid, single disturbance event may be more practically applied than management based on disturbances such as lightning or insects which occur over longer timeframes.