The Karnak Temples complex, a monumental site dating back to approximately 1970 BC, faces significant preservation challenges due to a confluence of mechanical, environmental, and anthropogenic factors impacting its stone blocks. This study provides a comprehensive evaluation of the deterioration affecting the northeast corner of the complex, revealing that the primary forms of damage include split cracking and fracturing. Seismic activities have induced out-of-plane displacements, fractures, and chipping, while flooding has worsened structural instability through uplift and prolonged water exposure. Soil liquefaction and fluctuating groundwater levels have exacerbated the misalignment and embedding of stone blocks. Thermal stress and wind erosion have caused microstructural decay and surface degradation and contaminated water sources have led to salt weathering and chemical alterations. Multi-temporal satellite imagery has revealed the influence of vegetation, particularly invasive plant species, on physical and biochemical damage to the stone. This study utilized in situ assessments to document damage patterns and employed satellite imagery to assess environmental impacts, providing a multi-proxy approach to understanding the current state of the stone blocks. This analysis highlights the urgent need for a multi-faceted conservation strategy. Recommendations include constructing elevated platforms from durable materials to reduce soil and water contact, implementing non-invasive cleaning and consolidation techniques, and developing effective water management and contamination prevention measures. Restoration should focus on repairing severely affected blocks with historically accurate materials and establishing an open museum setting will enhance public engagement. Long-term preservation will benefit from regular monitoring using 3D scanning and a preventive conservation schedule. Future research should explore non-destructive testing and interdisciplinary collaboration to refine conservation strategies and ensure the sustained protection of this invaluable historical heritage.
Following the 2016 Chauk earthquake in Bagan (Myanmar), numerous old pagodas and temples suffered severe damage. This research presents a study on the seismic hazard analysis of the Bagan city in Myanmar, based on a probabilistic framework focussing on analysing 43 temples with their associated local soil information. To this end, two seismic source models are developed based on the tectonic setting of the region and information available. Instrumental and historical records are compiled from both literature and international earthquake catalogues while conducting catalogue completeness. This study uses state-of-the-art ground motion models to perform probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and develop seismic hazard maps for different return periods in the region. Results are also expressed for selected temples in the region in terms of site-specific uniform hazard spectra. The findings indicate significant seismic activity, with peak ground acceleration in the region ranging from 0.25 to 0.36 g for a return period of 2475 years, 0.22-0.32 g for a return period of 975 years, and 0.18-0.24 g for a return period of 475 years. The updated hazard levels indicate that the literature slightly underestimates hazard in the region under study.