The liquefaction and weakening of saturated sands under cyclic stress loading is a major concern in earthquake engineering. This study proposes a model based on initial cyclic shear strain (gamma c,i) to predict the excess pore pressure generation in undrained saturated sands. Here, gamma c,i is defined as the average cyclic shear strain prior to the significant accumulation of excess pore pressure. To calibrate and validate the model, a series of undrained stress-controlled cyclic triaxial (CTX) tests were conducted on Fujian sand with 10 % Kaolin clay (FS-10) and Silica sand no.7 with 5 % Kaolin clay (SS7-5). The FS-10 and SS7-5 specimens displayed typical flow liquefaction and cyclic mobility as they approached initial liquefaction. A critical excess pore pressure ratio (ru,c) is introduced to characterize the effects of liquefaction failure modes on excess pore pressure generation. The model also incorporates reduction factors related to small-strain secant shear modulus and reference shear strain to account for variations in calculating gamma c,i. Ultimately, the initial cyclic shear strain-based model exhibited a strong correlation with experimental data under different confining pressures and loading cycles. In addition, it provides a critical initial cyclic shear strain for assessing soil liquefaction in engineering practices, particularly for improved ground with complex stress states.