Air quality in Bangladesh has depreciated over the years owing to substantial local and regional aerosol emissions. This study investigates the impact of anthropogenic aerosol emissions, aerosol radiative forcing, and socioeconomic factors on aerosol optical depth (AOD) over Bangladesh. The research focuses on the capital city Dhaka and the coastal island Bhola, using data from the ground-based AERONET, MODIS satellite, and MERRA-2 reanalysis model. AOD exhibited increasing trends over Bangladesh (0.004-0.010/years) and showed significant annual cycles. Northwestern regions of the country experienced extremely high concentrations of anthropogenic black carbon (BC) and organic carbon (OC) aerosols, whereas the central regions exhibited elevated anthropogenic SO2 and SO4 concentrations. The dominance of anthropogenic aerosols (SO4, BC, and OC) over Dhaka (similar to 75%) and natural aerosols (sea salt and dust) over Bhola (similar to 63%) were calculated. SO4 aerosol was the primary driving force over Dhaka contributing 47.60% of the total AOD, while sea salt aerosol was the dominant species (45.78%) over Bhola. High aerosol radiative forcing at the atmosphere (ARF(ATM)) values were calculated for both Dhaka and Bhola. Average heating rate (HR) at Dhaka was 2.05 +/- 0.75 K day(-1), and at Bhola was 1.54 +/- 0.58 K day(-1) indicating the presence of light-absorbing aerosols over Bangladesh. All the socioeconomic factors were positively correlated with AOD except population growth and agriculture land indicating the substantial impact of socioeconomic development on AOD. The findings of this study will have notable influences on long-term air quality management in Bangladesh as well as in Southeast Asia.
Kazakhstan is part of the Eurasian Steppes, the world's largest contiguous grassland system. Kazakh grassland systems are largely understudied despite being historically important for agropastoral practices. These grasslands are considered vulnerable to anthropogenic activities and climatic variability. Few studies have examined vegetation dynamics in Central Asia owing to the complex impacts of moisture, climatic and anthropogenic forcings. A comprehensive analysis of spatiotemporal changes of vegetation and its driving factors will help elucidate the causes of grassland degradation. Here, we investigated the individual and pairwise interactive influences of various social-environmental system (SES) drivers on greenness dynamics in Kazakhstan. We sought to examine whether there is a relationship between peak season greenness and its drivers - spring drought, preceding winter freeze-thaw cycles, percent snow cover and snow depth - for Kazakhstan during 2000-2016. As hypothesized, snow depth and spring drought accounted for 60 % and 52 % of the variance in the satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in Kazakhstan. The freeze-thaw process accounted for 50 % of NDVI variance across the country. In addition, continuous thawing during the winter increased vegetation greenness. We also found that moisture and topographic factors impacted NDVI more significantly than socioeconomic factors. However, the impacts of socioeconomic drivers on vegetation growth were amplified when they interacted with environmental drivers. Terrain slope and soil moisture had the highest q-values or power of determinant, accounting for -70 % of the variance in NDVI across the country. Socioeconomic drivers, such as crop production (59 %), population density (48 %), and livestock density (26 %), had significant impacts on vegetation dynamics in Kazakhstan. We found that most of the pairwise interactive influences of the drivers exhibited bi-factor enhancement, and the interaction between soil moisture and elevation was the largest (q = 0.92). Our study revealed the optimal ranges and tipping points of SES drivers and quantified the impacts of various driving factors on NDVI. These findings can help us identify the factors causing grassland degradation and provide a scientific basis for ecological protection in semiarid regions.
There exist substantial differences in top-of-atmosphere direct radiative forcing of aerosols due to a region's economic production (RFp) and consumption (RFc), in the context of economic globalization, trade and globalizing air pollution. Yet an explicit systematic analysis of all socioeconomic and atmospheric factors determining the RF difference is lacking. Here, we evaluate five socioeconomic (population, per capita output, emission intensity) and atmospheric (chemical efficiency and radiative efficiency) factors that determine a region's RFp, RFc and their difference. We consider the RF of secondary inorganic aerosols, primary organic aerosols and black carbon by 10 regions worldwide in 2007. The population size varies by a factor of nine across the regions, and per capita output by 40 times from both production- and consumption-based perspectives. The cross-regional spread reaches a factor of 181 (species dependent) for production-based emission intensity and a factor of 96 for consumption-based intensity. From one region to another, production-based chemical efficiency changes within a factor of 5 and consumption-based efficiency within a factor of 3.5. Radiative efficiency varies slightly across the regions (within 2) from both production- and consumption-based perspectives. Although socioeconomic factors are often a greater driver for the difference between a source region's RFp and RFc, the atmospheric factors are also important for many source regions and species. Our results contribute to regional attribution of climate change and establishment of effective international collaborative mitigation strategies.