Under the action of freeze-thaw cycles, the internal temperature and water distribution of slope soils in cold regions change significantly, which directly affects the stability of slopes. In order to study the differences in hydrothermal reactions at different depths and their impacts on the stability of slopes. This study establishes both a freeze-thaw model and a hydrothermal coupling model, combining field measurements with numerical simulations to examine the dynamic changes in hydrothermal characteristics within the slope. The results indicate that the variation in slope temperature with depth can be divided into three stages: initial freezing, stable freezing, and thawing. In the freezing stage, the negative temperature gradient drives water to migrate towards the freezing front, forming segregated ice and inducing frost heave. In the thawing stage, the latent heat released by the phase change in segregated ice promotes water to move towards the slope toe, increasing the water content there and indirectly exacerbating the risk of slope instability. The heat and moisture transfer in frozen soil slopes shows non-linear and dynamic characteristics. The unique process of one-way freezing and two-way thawing makes the thawing rate 1.35 times that of the freezing rate, and this asymmetric characteristic is the key to understanding the mechanism of slope instability.

Deformation and failure of the talus slope in the cold region significantly threaten engineered structures. Its driving mechanism of the deformation process is the most challenging issue. In this study, we try to explore these issues using tree ring characteristics. Fifty samples from 21 trees of Pinus densiflora growing on the talus slope in the Huanren area of Northeast China are tested to investigate the characteristics of tree rings and their relation to climate change. The deformation and its driving mechanism of this talus slope are then studied by combining the analysis of tree-ring width and mutation identification with the local meteorological data. The results present that the studied talus slope in Huanren has deformed to varying degrees at least 60 times since 1900. It is reasonable to speculate that the deformation mode of this slope is probably of a long-term and slow type. The local precipitation and seasonal temperature difference are the vital inducing factors of the mutation of tree-ring width and slope deformation. Repeated freezing and thawing are believed to be the driving factors of this talus slope in the cold region. A theoretical model is proposed to capture and predict the deformation of the talus slope. This work presents a new perspective and insight to reveal the deformation and its driving mechanism of similar talus slopes in the cold region. It is of great significance to practical engineering treatment and disaster prevention for this kind of cold region environment.

We investigate the Gisla perched talus slope (Trollaskagi peninsula, northern Iceland), from which a landslide (more specifically a debris avalanche) occurred in October 2020. Although this talus slope is located outside of the permafrost climatic boundaries, geomorphological evidence (i.e., molards in the landslide deposits) suggest that degradation of azonal permafrost could be among the destabilising factors of the landslide. The thermal dynamics of talus slopes is currently poorly understood, as air convection ( the 'chimney effect') can play a role in the persistence of permafrost at the base of talus slopes. We use the software FEFLOW to run physical-based simulations of heat transfer within a cross- of the Gisla talus slope, from -20,000 years to present. We explore the sensitivity of our model to document the initial porosity/ ice content of the talus slope (0.3, 0.5 and 0.8), and the thermal conductivity (TC) of the rock phase (0.75, 1.1 and 1.75 W.m(-1).K-1). Analysis of air temperature data show that the region has been undergoing a general temperature increase for the last similar to 40 years, supporting the possibility that permafrost degradation is among the destabilising factors of the landslide. Our temperature measurements show that a chimney effect indeed occurs at the Gisla talus slope. Although our modelling approach does not simulate air convection itself, permafrost persists at the base of the talus slope in all model scenarios. Increasing the initial porosity/ice content and decreasing the TC of the rock phase enhances persistence of permafrost in the Gisla talus slope. Our approach is unconventional as we initially know that ground ice was present in the Gisla talus slope at the time of the landslide; it attests that the permafrost dynamics in the talus slope is best represented by our most ice-conservative scenario - i.e., with a TC of 0.75 W.m(-1).K-1.

Some sloping peatlands in northern regions often develop surface microtopographic patterns to maintain their water balance and ecosystem functioning. However, we do not know whether and how spatial patterning would influence the water balance and peat formation of permafrost-affected peatlands in relatively dry regions. Here we used data from the field observations and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) survey of a slope peatland at an elevation of around 4800 m in the hinterland of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) to document and understand the topographic controls of water balance and vegetation growth. Our terrain analysis result shows that the peatland-located on the middle of a hillslope-has a gentle slope of 5.6 degrees +/- 2.5 degrees, while the non-peatland upper has a steep slope of 12 degrees +/- 4.5 degrees. The great upstream catchment area and the presence of shallow impermeable permafrost likely create a saturated condition for peat formation. Our UAV results show obvious spatial patterning of abundant pools and ridges across this peatland, and pool sizes and ridge abundance increase with increasing slopes, suggesting that slope-controlled water flow gradient is the main driver of ridge formation and that ridges is to slow down the runoff. UAV-derived greenness values show a positive relationship with the total pool extent locally (R2 = 0.60) and decrease with increasing distance from the individual pools, suggesting sensitive responses of vegetation growth to surface moisture. Thus, enhanced vegetation growth and likely resultant great peat accumulation immediately around pools potentially further differentiate surface micro-topography, strengthening the pool stability. We conclude that the local slope gradient, surface patterning (pools and ridges) and permafrost interact together to regulate water flow and maintain water balance, which in turn regulate the vegetation growth, peat accumulation and peatland stability. Our study implies that the delicate water balance maintained partly by microtopography is sensitive to climate change-especially potential extreme hydroclimate events-and natural and human-induced disturbances that may modify the surface patterning and weaken the peatland's stability, affecting the carbon sequestration ability of this type of peatlands.

In recent years, with the global warming, the unfrozen water content of permafrost slope increases year by year. The decrease of slope stability is a great threat to the engineering construction in permafrost area. In this study, the south piedmont slope of Bayan Kara Mountain is taken as the research object. Through the field water and temperature monitoring of different positions and depths of the slope, the seasonal and interannual water change characteristics of the slope were analyzed. Combined with indoor shear strength test, numerical simulation and monitoring data, the moisture, temperature and stability of frozen soil slope in spring thawing period were analyzed. The analysis results show that: Water content and freeze-thaw cycles have great influence on the shear strength parameters at the interface. The slope moisture change in the region is divided into four stages, the water decline stage, the low water content stage, the water rise stage and the high water content stage. The freeze-thaw cycle and precipitation are the main reasons for the water change in each stage. From the middle of May to the middle of June is the high risk period of slope instability. The spring thaw landslide is dominated by shallow surface landslide, and the sliding surface is shallow.

Air and near-surface ground temperatures were measured using dataloggers over 14 years (2006-2020) in 10 locations at 2262 to 2471 m.a.s.l. in a glacial cirque of the Cantabrian Mountains. These sites exhibit relevant differences in terms of substrate, solar radiation, orientation, and geomorphology. Basal temperature of snow (BTS) measurements and electrical resistivity tomography of the talus slope were also performed. The mean annual near-surface ground temperatures ranged from 5.1 degrees C on the sunny slope to 0.2 degrees C in the rock glacier furrow, while the mean annual air temperature was 2.5 degrees C. Snow cover was inferred from near-surface ground temperature (GST) data, estimating between 130 and 275 days per year and 0.5 to 7.1 m snow thickness. Temperature and BTS data show that the lowest part of the talus slope and the rock glacier furrow are the coldest places in this cirque, coinciding with a more persistent and thickest snow cover. The highest temperatures coincide with less snow cover, fine-grained soils, and higher solar radiation. Snow cover has a primary role in controlling GST, as the delayed appearance in autumn or delayed disappearance in spring have a cooling effect, but no correlation with mean annual near-surface ground temperatures exists. Heavy rain-over-snow events have an important influence on the GST. In the talus slope, air circulation during the snow-covered period produces a cooling effect in the lower part, especially during the summer. Significant inter-annual GST differences were observed that exhibited BTS limitations. A slight positive temperature trend was detected but without statistically significance and less prominent than nearby reference official meteorological stations, so topoclimatic conditions reduced the more global positive temperature trend. Probable existence of permafrost in the rock glacier furrow and the lowest part of the talus slope is claimed; however, future work is necessary to confirm this aspect.

This paper discusses the potential response of fluvial processes and landforms to the projected permafrost degradation and related hydrological change. Fluvial system structure is presented in the first of the paper along with permafrost controls over its functioning, which vary across fluvial system compartments. The distinction is drawn between primarily fluvial landforms that are expected to adjust to future hydrology with less permafrost constraints, and primarily cryogenic landforms evolving in line with permafrost disturbances. The influence of permafrost on fluvial action varies across compartments: on hillslopes, permafrost mostly controls the occurrence of surface runoff, in river valleys and channels, sediment erodibility, while thermal interaction is essential for growing thermo-erosional gullies. Observed and projected changes in permafrost and hydrology are outlined, and their relevance for cryo-fluvial evolution of fluvial systems is reviewed. Based on these projections, future changes in fluvial action in each compartment are discussed. On hillslopes, where permafrost exerts important controls on hillslope hydrology, fluvial activity of overland flow is expected to decrease following the active layer deepening and decreased overland flow duration. In erosional networks, controlled by thermal interaction between runoff and permafrost terrain, higher water temperature is expected to increase the occurrence and rates of thermo-erosional gully development. In river valleys and channels, where permafrost controls the erodibility of bed and bank material, the expected fluvial feedbacks vary across scales and stream orders, and include changes in seasonality of channel deformations, increased retreat rates in lower river banks and decreased, in higher banks, along with floodplain subsidence, and minor potential for complete destabilization of existing channel patterns. Future collateral effects of fluvial change include alterations of terrestrial biogeochemical cycles and societal impact that must be accounted for in climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies.

In deglaciating environments, rock mass weakening and potential formation of rock slope instabilities is driven by long-term and seasonal changes in thermal- and hydraulic- boundary conditions, combined with unloading due to ice melting. However, in-situ observations are rare. In this study, we present new monitoring data from three highly instrumented boreholes, and numerical simulations to investigate rock slope temperature evolution and micrometer-scale deformation during deglaciation. Our results show that the subsurface temperatures are adjusting to a new, warmer surface temperature following ice retreat. Heat conduction is identified as the dominant heat transfer process at sites with intact rock. Observed non-conductive processes are related to groundwater exchange with cold subglacial water, snowmelt infiltration, or creek water infiltration. Our strain data shows that annual surface temperature cycles cause thermoelastic deformation that dominate the strain signals in the shallow thermally active layer at our stable rock slope locations. At deeper sensors, reversible strain signals correlating with pore pressure fluctuations dominate. Irreversible deformation, which we relate with progressive rock mass damage, occurs as short-term (hours to weeks) strain events and as slower, continuous strain trends. The majority of the short-term irreversible strain events coincides with precipitation events or pore pressure changes. Longer-term trends in the strain time series and a minority of short-term strain events cannot directly be related to any of the investigated drivers. We propose that the observed increased damage accumulation close to the glacier margin can significantly contribute to the long-term formation of paraglacial rock slope instabilities during multiple glacial cycles.

Study region: The upstream reaches of Manas River Basin (UMNS), and Muzati River Basin (UMZT) Study focus: Glaciers, as solid reservoirs, substantially regulate runoff abundance and depletion through peak shaving and valley filling. The regulations of glaciers in hydrological cycles are crucial to the arid regions. We aim to quantify the dynamics of the glaciers' hydrological regulating function in the UMNS and UMZT from 1971 to 2100 using a glacier hydrological regulation index (GlacierR). New hydrological insights for the region: Our results indicate that the glacier runoff in both basins showed a decreasing trend in the past four decades and will continue decreasing in the future under three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs): SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. The UMZT has a stronger regulating function of glacial runoff than the UMNS. In contrast, the tipping point of the glaciers' hydrological regulating function in the UMNS occurred ten years earlier than in the UMZT. Under the three SSPs, the glaciers' hydrological regulation function on the north -and south-facing slopes of the Tianshan Mountains will show a weakening trend. The weakness trend is more notable in UMZT, where the glaciers' hydrological regulation function will decrease by 66.9 % between 2061 and 2100 under SSP1-2.6. Thus, it sets alarm bells for the rational use of water resources in glacier-covered arid regions.

Arctic slope hydrology studies suggest that water follows preferential subsurface flow paths known as water tracks. While subsurface flow is usually expected to transport only dissolved solids, periglacial studies have indicated some evidence of lessivage associated with flow through sorted patterned ground. We investigated the transport of dissolved and suspended sediments in water tracks on a polar desert slope, and linked this transport to slope and flow path geomorphology. Solute transfer was dominated by carbonate weathering products, and concentrations of other ions increased disproportionately when the active layer thawed. Suspended sediment transport occurred in water tracks, but fluxes were supply-limited, indicating competent subsurface mechanical erosion. Solute mass fluxes were 5-10 times greater than sediment fluxes. In this dry landscape dominated by snowmelt, surface seepage leads to sediment deposition, while subsurface flow promotes lessivage. A conceptual model of nivation slopes is presented, taking into consideration the influence of flow path morphology and adaptation of the hydrological system to localized water sources from wind-drifted snowbanks. Climate-driven permafrost degradation and the increased frequency of rainfall events may result in new sediment sources and changes in flow pathways, modifying the physico-chemical properties and ecology of downstream receiving waters.