Seismic risk assessment of code-noncompliant reinforced concrete (RC) frames faces significant challenges due to structural heterogeneity and the complex interplay of site-specific hazard conditions. This study aims to introduce a novel framework that integrates three key concepts specifically targeting these challenges. Central to the methodology are fragility fuses, which employ a triplet of curves-lower bound, median, and upper bound-to rigorously quantify within-class variability in seismic performance, offering a more nuanced representation of code-noncompliant building behavior compared to conventional single-curve approaches. Complementing this, spectrum-consistent transformations dynamically adjust fragility curves to account for regional spectral shapes and soil categories, ensuring site-specific accuracy by reconciling hazard intensity with local geotechnical conditions. Further enhancing precision, the framework adopts a nonlinear hazard model that captures the curvature of hazard curves in log-log space, overcoming the oversimplifications of linear approximations and significantly improving risk estimates for rare, high-intensity events. Applied to four RC frame typologies (2-5 stories) with diverse geometries and material properties, the framework demonstrates a 15-40 % reduction in risk estimation errors through nonlinear hazard modeling, while spectrum-consistent adjustments show up to 30 % variability in exceedance probabilities across soil classes. Fragility fuses further highlight the impact of structural heterogeneity, with older, non-ductile frames exhibiting 25 % wider confidence intervals in performance. Finally, risk maps are presented for the four frame typologies, making use of non-linear hazard curves and spectrumconsistent fragility fuses accounting for both local effects and within-typology variability.
This study evaluates the impact of varying bedrock depths on local site amplification factors and their consequent influence on the vulnerability of buildings under seismic actions. An index-based methodology is implemented to analyze the seismic vulnerability of old masonry buildings in the historic center of Galata, & Idot;stanbul. As part of a site-specific analysis, soil models are developed to replicate a dipping bedrock at six different depths varying between 5 and 30 m beneath the ground surface. Consequently, potential damage scenarios are generated employing a seismic attenuation relation and damage distributions are compared for the cases with/without amplification effects. The findings point out that, the structural response undergoes the greatest amplification at a bedrock depth of 20 m, exceeding 1.6 and attaining its maximum value of 2.89 at the structural period of 0.22 s. The maximum shift in damage grades occurs for buildings with natural periods between 0.16 and 0.20 s on 15 m bedrock depth, whereas, for longer periods, the greatest increase occurs at 20 m bedrock depth compared to the scenarios without site amplification. As a result, this study emphasizes the significance of site-specific conditions that might amplify structural response and consequently, increase the seismic damage level in assessing the vulnerability of built heritage. By integrating geo-hazard-based evaluation into the large-scale seismic assessments, this study offers a framework for more accurate damage forecasting and highlights the need to include local site amplification effects in seismic risk mitigation plans, enhancing strategies for preserving built heritage.
Tunnels are of significant importance in the sustainable development of global urban areas, particularly in metropolitan areas. It is of the utmost importance to evaluate the seismic performance of tunnels across a wide spectrum of earthquake intensities. In order to address this, our study presents a framework for the assessment of seismic risk in tunnels. This study employs the city of Shanghai's urban metro tunnels as case studies. The nominal values of seismic risk for the three main damage states-minor, moderate, and major-were calculated. Furthermore, the influence of utilizing disparate fragility functions on expected seismic risk assessments was investigated. In this framework, the probability density functions of the different fragility curve models are employed to treat the probability values associated with them as random variables. This approach aims to facilitate the propagation of IMV in seismic risk assessments. The results demonstrate that the Bayesian framework efficiently incorporates the full range of input model variability into risk estimation. The findings of this study offer a foundation for decision-making processes, seismic risk assessments, and the resilience management of urban infrastructure.
In this study, the earthquake risk assessment of single -story RC precast buildings in Turkey was carried out using loss curves. In this regard, Kocaeli, a seismically active city in the Marmara region, and this building class, which is preferred intensively, were considered. Quality and period parameters were defined based on structural and geometric properties. Depending on these parameters, nine main sub -classes were defined to represent the building stock in the region. First, considering the mean fragility curves and four different central damage ratio models, vulnerability curves for each sub -class were computed as a function of spectral acceleration. Then, probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed for stiff and soft soil conditions for different earthquake probabilities of exceedance in 50 years. In the last step, 90 loss curves were derived based on vulnerability and hazard results. Within the scope of the study, the comparative parametric evaluations for three different earthquake intensity levels showed that the structural damage ratio values for nine sub -classes changed significantly. In addition, the quality parameter was found to be more effective on a structure's damage state than the period parameter. It is evident that since loss curves allow direct loss ratio calculation for any hazard level without needing seismic hazard and damage analysis, they are considered essential tools in rapid earthquake risk estimation and mitigation initiatives.
Our study introduces a methodology to improve large-scale seismic damage assessment by incorporating site-specific fragility curves, considering soil-structure interaction (SSI) and site amplification (SAmp) effects. The proposed method proposes an enhanced building exposure model, using publicly available data and the open-source OpenQuake Engine software. The objective is to determine whether a more refined approach incorporating SSI and SAmp can impact the final damage calculation. We evaluate our approach by estimating the damage distribution for the Thessaloniki 1978 earthquake scenario using the actual building stock of Thessaloniki. We present several maps with aggregated damages at different levels to investigate the spatial variability of SSI and SAmp, and their influence on the resulting damages. Our estimated physical damages have been compared with those obtained using approaches from the existing literature. Apparently, using an updated building exposure model to assess damages makes any comparison with past observed damages challenging. Nevertheless, incorporating SSI and SAmp in large-scale damage assessment can provide valuable support for strategic decision-making in cities and improve the accuracy of the expected loss assessment due to a seismic event.
Large-scale loss of life and property occurred in Kahramanmaras and its districts, which are the city center where the epicenters of the earthquake couples that occurred on February 6, 2023, in Turkiye. Major damage has occurred in different structural systems due to the earthquake. In addition, fault traces that are the source of the earthquake were clearly observed on the ground surface. In this study, the effects of both earthquakes on soil, reinforced concrete, masonry, prefabricated, and other structural systems were evaluated observationally in Kahramanmaras and its districts. Comparisons were made on the last two earthquake maps used in Turkiye for the locations of strong ground motion measuring devices in Kahramanmaras. The masonry structures, which are common in rural areas in the epicenter, have been heavily damaged because they have not received engineering service. However, it is seen that the concrete buildings have insufficient strength and ductility. A similar situation is also present in industrial precast structures, and it has been observed that the damaged and collapsed in these structures are manufactured without complying with the type connection details given for prefabricated reinforced concrete structures in the codes. It has also been observed that the soil-structure interaction is the most determining parameter in the structure's performance in these earthquake couples. Especially in weak soils, the damage to the structures has been quite heavy. The field data obtained from the earthquakes showed that some of the conditions of the current earthquake code should be discussed again.
Due to the unique soil, morphological, and subsurface topographical conditions, amplified and prolonged seismic demand traces were observed in historical strong ground motion records from Bayrakli-Izmir-Turkiye. A vivid example of this response was recorded during the Mw 7.0 Samos event on October 30, 2020. After the event, structural damage and loss of life were unexpectedly concentrated in Bayrakli-Izmir, even though the fault rupture was located 70 km away. The presence of strong ground motion stations (SGMS) located on rock (#3514) and soil (#3513) sites enabled a quantitative assessment of the amplified and prolonged seismic demand traces. The seismic response of SGMS #3513 site was assessed by using 1-D equivalent linear and analytical methods. The idealized 1-D soil profile and input parameters were calibrated and fine-tuned by using the 2020 Samos earthquake accelerograms. Then, the calibrated equivalent linear site response model was further validated by the recordings from historical events. Alternatively, an analytical wave propagation-based model was proposed, the input parameters of which were probabilistically estimated based on, again, historical recordings. Finally, the seismic responses of the site during future earthquakes were predicted based on the calibrated and validated site response models. The predicted intensity-dependent amplification spectral responses were compared with the provisions of the TEC (2018). Even though limited in number in all five future seismic scenario events, amplification ratios suggested by TEC were exceeded by a factor of 2-4 at periods falling in the range of 0.5 to 1.2 s. This clearly suggested the need to further quantify the Bayrakli seismic basin responses with basin-specific models, rather than code-based, intensity-dependent generalized amplification factors.
The fundamental resonance frequency is a key parameter for seismic risk assessment. Avoiding proximity between soil and building resonance frequencies is crucial to prevent dual resonances that exacerbate earthquake-induced damages. Additionally, establishing the initial fundamental resonance frequency of a building serves as a baseline for post-event damage assessment, offering a quantifiable metric alongside qualitative evaluations. This study focuses on collating ambient vibration measurements conducted in Nice's buildings since the 2000s. These measurements encompass diverse structural types, such as masonry-isolated or in block and reinforced concrete buildings. The streamlined configurations of the measurements chosen is a setup of three sensors at the top of building to be able to determine the fundamental resonance frequency and to check any possible torsion that could increase the vulnerability of the structure. We conducted a comparable analysis on all data, involving frequency selection from average Fourier spectra to identify the first mode. Our findings reveal a linear correlation between masonry buildings and height, expressed by the formula T = 0.014 H. For reinforced concrete buildings, the correlation is T = 0.015 H. These correlations align well with previous studies.