Slope failures resulting from thaw slumps in permafrost regions, have developed widely under the influence of climate change and engineering activities. The shear strength at the interface between the active layer and permafrost (IBALP) at maximum thawing depth is a critical factor to evaluate stability of permafrost slopes. Traditional direct shear, triaxial shear, and large-scale in-situ shear experiments are unsuitable for measuring the shear strength parameter of the IBALP. Based on the characteristics of thaw slumps in permafrost regions, this study proposes a novel test method of self-weight direct shear instrument (SWDSI), and its principle, structure, measurement system and test steps are described in detail. The shear strength of the IBALP under maximum thaw depth conditions is measured using this method. The results show that under the condition that the permafrost layer is thick underground ice and the active layer consists of silty clay with 20% water content, the test results are in good agreement with the results of field large-scale direct shear tests and are in accordance with previous understandings and natural laws. The above analysis indicates that the method of the SWDSI has a reliable theoretical basis and reasonable experimental procedures, and meets the needs of stability assessment of thaw slumps in permafrost regions. The experimental data obtained provide important parameter support for the evaluation of related geological hazards.
The thermal coupling between the atmosphere and the subsurface on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) governs permafrost stability, surface energy balance, and ecosystem processes, yet its spatiotemporal dynamics under accelerated warming are poorly understood. This study quantifies soil-atmosphere thermal coupling ((3) at the critical 0.1 m root-zone depth using in-situ data from 99 sites (1980-2020) and a machine learning framework. Results show significantly weaker coupling in permafrost (PF) zones (mean (3 = 0.42) than in seasonal frost (SF) zones (mean (3 = 0.50), confirming the powerful thermal buffering of permafrost. Critically, we find a widespread trend of weakening coupling (decreasing (3) at 66.7 % of sites, a phenomenon most pronounced in SF zones. Our driver analysis reveals that the spatial patterns of (3 are primarily controlled by surface insulation from summer rainfall and soil moisture. The temporal trends, however, are driven by a complex and counter-intuitive interplay. Paradoxically, rapid atmospheric warming is the strongest driver of a strengthening of coupling, likely due to the loss of insulative snow cover, while trends toward wetter conditions drive a weakening of coupling by enhancing surface insulation. Spatially explicit maps derived from our models pinpoint hotspots of accelerated decoupling in the eastern and southern QTP, while also identifying high-elevation PF regions where coupling is strengthening, signaling a loss of protective insulation and increased vulnerability to degradation. These findings highlight a dynamic and non-uniform response of land-atmosphere interactions to climate change, with profound implications for the QTP's cryosphere, hydrology, and ecosystems.
This study assesses the stability of the Bei'an-Hei'he Highway (BHH), located near the southern limit of latitudinal permafrost in the Xiao Xing'anling Mountains, Northeast China, where permafrost degradation is intensifying under combined climatic and anthropogenic influences. Freeze-thaw-induced ground deformation and related periglacial hazards remain poorly quantified, limiting regional infrastructure resilience. We developed an integrated framework that fuses multi-source InSAR (ALOS, Sentinel-1, ALOS-2), unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and theoretical modeling to characterize cumulative deformation, evaluate present stability, and project future dynamics. Results reveal long-term deformation rates from -35 to +40 mm/yr within a 1-km buffer on each side of the BHH, with seasonal amplitudes up to 11 mm. Sentinel-1, with its 12-day revisit cycle, demonstrated superior capability for monitoring the Xing'an permafrost. Deformation patterns were primarily controlled by air temperature, while precipitation and the topographic wetness index enhanced spatial heterogeneity through thermo-hydrological coupling. Wavelet analysis identified a 334-day deformation cycle, lagging climate forcing by similar to 107 days due to the insulating effects of peat. Early-warning analysis classified 4.99 % of the highway length as high-risk (subsidence 10.91 mm/yr). The InSAR-based landslide prediction model achieved high accuracy (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve, or AUC = 0.9486), validated through field surveys of subsidence, cracking, and slow-moving failures. The proposed 'past-present-future' framework demonstrates the potential of multi-sensor integration for permafrost monitoring and provides a transferable approach for assessing infrastructure stability in cold regions.
This study presents the first high-resolution Regional Climate Model 5 (RegCM5) analysis of the unprecedented May-June 2024 heatwave in India, evaluating the role of absorbing aerosols-black carbon (BC) and dust-in amplifying extreme heat. Heatwaves have a severe impact on health, mortality, and agriculture, with absorbing aerosols exacerbating warming. MERRA-2 Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) anomalies show that BC peaked at +0.027 in May, weakening in June, while dust remained higher (up to +0.36), intensifying over the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) and northwestern India. RegCM5 simulations, validated against India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data, indicate that these aerosols amplified surface temperature anomalies, with BC-induced warming exceeding +4 degrees C in northern India during May, while dust produced stronger anomalies, surpassing +5 degrees C in the IGP and Rajasthan in June. BC-induced warming was vertically distributed and more pronounced under clear skies, whereas dust-induced warming was surface-concentrated and persisted longer in regions with higher dust concentrations. Both aerosols increased net shortwave radiation (SWR; >300 W m(-2) for BC, similar to 270 W m(-2) for dust) and upward longwave radiation (ULR; >130 W m(-2)), inducing surface energy imbalances. This radiative forcing caused lower-tropospheric warming (up to +3 degrees C at 925 hPa for BC and 850 hPa for dust) and humidity deficits (-0.009 kg/kg), which stabilised the atmosphere, suppressed convection, and delayed monsoon onset. These findings highlight aerosol-radiation interactions as critical drivers of heatwave onset and persistence, emphasizing the need for their integration into regional climate models and early warning systems.
Infrastructure in northern regions is increasingly threatened by climate change, mainly due to permafrost thaw. Prediction of permafrost stability is essential for assessing the long-term stability of such infrastructure. A key aspect of geotechnical problems subject to climate change is addressing the surface energy balance (SEB). In this study, we evaluated three methodologies for applying surface boundary conditions in longterm thermal geotechnical analyses, including SEB heat flux, n-factors, and machine learning (ML) models by using ERA5-Land climate reanalysis data until 2100. We aimed to determine the most effective approach for accurately predicting ground surface temperatures for climate-resilient design of northern infrastructure. The evaluation results indicated that the ML-based approach outperformed both the SEB heat flux and n-factors methods, demonstrating significantly lower prediction errors. The feasibility of long-term thermal analysis of geotechnical problems using ML-predicted ground surface temperatures was then demonstrated through a permafrost case study in the community of Salluit in northern Canada, for which the thickness of the active layer and talik were calculated under moderate and extreme climate scenarios by the end of the 21st century. Finally, we discussed the application and limitations of surface boundary condition methodologies, such as the limited applicability of the n-factors in long-term analysis and the sensitivity of the SEB heat flux to inputs and thermal imbalance. The findings highlight the importance of selecting suitable boundary condition methodologies in enhancing the reliability of thermal geotechnical analyses in cold regions.
Light-absorbing carbonaceous aerosols, comprising black carbon (BC) and brown carbon (BrC), significantly influence air quality and radiative forcing. Unlike traditional approaches that use a fixed value of absorption & Aring;ngstrom exponent (AAE), this study investigated the absorption and optical properties of carbonaceous aerosols in Beijing for both local emission and regional transport events during a wintertime pollution event by using improved AAE results that employs wavelength-dependent AAE (WDA). By calculating the difference of BC AAE at different wavelengths using Mie theory and comparing the calculated results to actual measurements from an Aethalometer (AE31), a more accurate absorption coefficient of BrC can be derived. Through the analysis of air mass sources, local emission was found dominated the pollution events during this study, accounting for 81 % of all cases, while regional transport played a minor role. Carbonaceous aerosols exhibited a continuous increasing trend during midday, which may be attributed to the re-entrainment of nighttime-accumulated carbonaceous aerosols to the surface during the early planetary boundary layer (PBL) development phase, as the mixed layer rises, combined with the variation of PBL and anthropogenic activity. At night, variations in the PBL height, in addition to anthropogenic activities, effectively contributed to surface aerosol concentrations, leading to peak surface aerosol values during local pollution episodes. The diurnal variation of AAE470/880 exhibited a decreasing trend, with a total decrease of approximately 12 %. Furthermore, the BrC fraction showed a constant diurnal variation, suggesting that the declining AAE470/880 was primarily influenced by BC, possibly due to enhanced traffic contributions.
The long-term trend for aerosol optical properties and climate impact sensitivity in terms of radiative forcing efficiency were analyzed at a suburban station in Athens, Southeast Mediterranean, using an extensive dataset from 2008 to 2022. The study examined scattering (nsc) and absorption (nap) coefficients, scattering & Aring;ngstrom exponent (SAE), absorption & Aring;ngstrom exponent (AAE), single scattering albedo (SSA), asymmetry parameter (g), and radiative forcing efficiency (RFE). Seasonal variability was linked to meteorological conditions and human activities. Single Scattering Albedo (SSA) was lowest (0.86), and Radiative Forcing Efficiency (RFE) was highest (-61 W/m2) in winter, confirming enhanced contributions from traffic and biomass burning. Lower SAE values (1.5) in spring indicate a greater presence of coarse particles due to frequent Saharan dust events (SDEs). Daily patterns of nap and SSA reflect local emissions, with pronounced traffic-related peaks. Aerosol classification revealed that Black Carbon (BC) dominates the suburban aerosol (51 %), with mixed BrC-BC (16 %) peaking in winter and dust-pollution mixtures (13 %) increasing in spring. The presence of large particles mixed with BC (11 %) was more frequent in spring, further highlighting seasonal variability. Trend analysis showed statistically significant (ss) decreases in nsc (-0.611) and SSA (-0.003), alongside increases in nap (+0.027) and RFE (+0.270) at a 95 % confidence level, suggesting a shift toward more absorbing aerosols. The findings provide new insights and reveal a new aerosol regime, where a reduction in anthropogenic emissions is affecting the scattering rather than the absorbing aerosol component, while the impact from forest fires as a climate feedback mechanism has a significant effect in the Eastern Mediterranean. It is important for future studies and climate modelling to account for the regionally observed changes of the state of mixing of ambient aerosol leading to a shift in radiative forcing efficiency through the reduction in SSA. This is evident in the long term for the east Mediterranean region and must be accounted for in radiative forcing estimates and future climate projections.
The Three-Rivers Headwater Region (TRHR) is located on the Tibetan Plateau, within a transitional zone between seasonally frozen ground and continuous permafrost. Over 70 % of the region is predominantly covered by alpine grasslands, a vulnerable ecosystem increasingly threatened by ongoing permafrost degradation. This study utilized satellite data to analyze permafrost degradation by measuring active layer thickness (ALT) and the soil non-frozen period (NFP), and to investigate their impacts on alpine grassland growth. Results showed significant permafrost degradation from 2000 to 2020, with ALT thickening at a rate of 7.79 cm/decade (p < 0.05) and NFP lengthening by 1.1 days/yr (p < 0.05). Simultaneously, grassland vegetation exhibited a significant greening trend (0.0014 yr(-1), p < 0.01). Using the partial least squares (PLS) regression method, the study evaluated the relationships between grassland dynamics and permafrost degradation, while jointly accounting for climate variables (temperature, precipitation, and sunshine duration). ALT thickening was the dominant explanatory variable for grassland growth in 11.09 % of the region, and it was positively correlated in relatively cold western and alpine areas, but negatively correlated in the relatively warm eastern and central regions. NFP extension was the dominant explanatory variable for grassland growth in 10.38 % of the region, although its positive correlation weakened as climate conditions transitioned from relatively cold-dry to relatively warm-wet. Although permafrost degradation was positively correlated with grassland greening in relatively cold regions, the diminishing benefit of NFP extension and the adverse effects of ALT thickening may increasingly undermine grassland stability in relatively warm regions under further climate warming.
Canopy reflectance (CR) models describe the transfer and interaction of radiation from the soil background to the canopy layer and play a vital role in the retrieval of biophysical variables. However, few efforts have focused on estimating soil background scattering operators, resulting in uncertainties in CR modelling, especially over sloping terrain. This study developed a canopy reflectance model for simulating CR over sloping terrain, which combines the general spectral vector (GSV) model, the PROSPECT model, and 4SAIL model coupled with topography (GSV-PROSAILT). The canopy reflectance simulated by GSV-PROSAILT was validated against two datasets: discrete anisotropic radiative transfer (DART) simulations and remote sensing observations. A comparison with DART simulations under various conditions revealed that the GSV-PROSAILT model captures terrain-induced CR distortion with high accuracy (red band: coefficient of determination $\lpar {\rm R 2} \rpar = 0.731$(R2)=0.731, root-mean-square error (RMSE) = 0.007; near infrared (NIR) band: $\rm R2 = 0.8319$R2=0.8319, RMSE = 0.0098). The results of remote sensing observation verification revealed that the GSV-PROSAILT model can be successfully used in CR modelling. These validations confirmed the performance of GSV-PROSAILT in soil and canopy reflectance modelling over sloping terrain, indicating that it can provide a potential tool for biophysical variable retrieval over mountainous areas.
The morphology of sheep wool applied as organic fertilizer biodegraded in the soil was examined. The investigations were conducted in natural conditions for unwashed waste wool, which was rejected during sorting and then chopped into short segments and wool pellets. Different types of wool were mixed with soil and buried in experimental plots. The wool samples were periodically taken and analyzed for one year using Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) and Energy-dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy (EDS). During examinations, the changes in the fibers' morphology were observed. It was stated that cut wool and pellet are mechanically damaged, which significantly accelerates wool biodegradation and quickly destroys the whole fiber structure. On the contrary, for undamaged fibers biodegradation occurs slowly, layer by layer, in a predictable sequence. This finding has practical implications for the use of wool as an organic fertilizer, suggesting that the method of preparation can influence its biodegradation rate. (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic). (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic). (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic). (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(SEM)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)X(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(EDS)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic). (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic). (sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic). (sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic). (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic), (sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic)(sic).