共检索到 5

In evaluating the safety of rock slopes engineering, it is imperative to account for rheological effects. These effects can lead to significant deformations that may adversely impact the overall structural integrity. Consequently, accurate determination of the rheological mechanical parameters of slope rocks is essential. However, the application of rheological parameters obtained from laboratory tests encounters limitations due to the rock's inherent heterogeneity, scale effects, and inevitable sample dispersion. By contrast, on-site monitoring data serve as critical assets for real-time calibration and risk assessment in the evaluation of rheological parameters and prediction of slope deformation. To integrate on-site monitoring data with rheological mechanical mechanisms, this study introduces a probabilistic inverse model for evaluating rock slope rheological parameters, grounded in Bayesian theory, and incorporating a No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithm. In terms of methodological efficiency, we compared the NUTS method with the traditional Metropolis-Hastings (M-H) approach, demonstrating the superior efficiency of the former. Additionally, sensitivity analysis of rheological parameters was conducted using the Burgers constitutive model. By combining the NUTS-based MCMC method with this model, the uncertainty of creep parameters was successfully evaluated. Utilizing these updated posterior parameters, up to 3-year deformation forecast for the slope was executed, the findings demonstrate that the deformation on the left bank slope is slight, indicating a state of safety. This study integrates monitoring data with rheological mechanics to establish a physical-data-driven rheological safety assessment mechanism. It offers a scientifically robust and effective approach for the uncertainty evaluation of rheological parameters and deformation prediction, providing significant support for the safety assessment of the left bank slope of the Baihetan hydropower station, China.

期刊论文 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1061/IJGNAI.GMENG-9884 ISSN: 1532-3641

Hydropower stations are important infrastructures for generating clean energy. However, they are vulnerable to natural disasters such as earthquakes, which can cause severe damage and even lead to catastrophic failures. Therefore, it is essential to develop effective strategies for maximizing hydropower station safety against earthquakes. To evaluate the potential shear rate of surrounding rock layers, the shear wave velocity (Vs) parameter can be used as a useful tool. This parameter helps to determine the velocity at which shear waves travel through the rock layers, which can indicate their stability and susceptibility to earthquakes. This study will investigate the significance of the Vs parameter in evaluating the potential shear rate of rock layers surrounding hydropower stations and how it can be used to ensure their safety and efficiency in earthquake-prone regions. Furthermore, a novel approach is proposed in this research, which involves using extreme learning machine (ELM) technology to predict Vs and enhance the seismic safety of hydropower stations. The ELM model predicts the Vs of the soil layers around the hydropower station, a crucial factor in determining the structure's seismic response. The predicted Vs is then used to assess seismic hazard and design appropriate safety measures. The ML-ELM model outperformed both the ELM and empirical models, with an RMSE of 0.0432 mu s/ft and R2 of 0.9954, as well as fewer outlier data predictions. This approach shows promise for predicting Vs in similar environments, and future research could explore its effectiveness in other datasets and practical applications.

期刊论文 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1414461

Introduction: More than 16% of the total electricity used worldwide is met by hydropower, having local to regional environmental consequences. With positive indicators that energy is becoming more broadly available and sustainable, the world is moving closer to achieving Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG 7). Pakistan became the first nation to include the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in its national development strategy.Methodology: The current study sought to investigate the structural limits of Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) guidelines for hydropower development in Pakistan. The study included the document review of the EIA reports about hydropower projects in Pakistan, scientific questionnaires from decision-makers, and public consultation.Results and Discussion: The document evaluates that an adequate mechanism is available, and donors like the Asian Development Bank and World Bank observe the implementation process of EIA in Pakistan. However, a comprehensive analysis of the EIA system found several things that could be improved, not only in the institutional framework but also in actual implementation and practices. More than 20% of respondent decision-makers disagreed with the compliance of the current Institutional Framework with EIA guidelines, and 25% think that the existing guidelines followed in Pakistan are not aligned with international standards and practices for Hydropower in actual practice. EIA has a limited impact on decision-making due to insufficient technical and financial resources.Recommendations: There should be a think tank with experts who can meet the needs of present and future epochs. The public should be communicated with and educated about EIA. For better efficiency, the officers and decision-makers should be trained internationally, i.e., the Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA).

期刊论文 2024-01-18 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1342953

Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) became mandatory in Pakistan in 1983 with the passage of the Pakistan Environmental Protection Ordinance. The Sustainable Development Goals were incorporated into Pakistan's national development strategy, making it the first country in history to do so. The study is based on evaluating the mitigation strategies and environmental impact assessment at the Gulpur Hydropower Project (HPP), Kotli, AJK, which uses the Poonch River's water resources to generate power and has a design capacity of 100 MW using the EIA documentation of Gulpur HPP. In addition to making additional observations and reviewing the literature, the study looked at Mira Power Limited's EIA reports. The possible effects, as well as the Government's and MPL's mitigating actions, were examined by the authors. EIA procedures at the Gulpur HPP considered several laws, including the Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency, AJK Wildlife Ordinance of 2013, the Land Acquisition Act of 1894, and Laws Regulating Flow Releases for Hydropower Projects. Projects using hydropower in delicate areas carry a high risk. Given the thorough analysis of the hazards in this instance, it is evident that the EIA had a significant impact on the project's design. The authors concluded that there are no negative environmental effects of the construction of hydropower projects in the concerned area and that all potential effects and compensation were handled legally and efficiently. The study suggested that all hydropower projects in Pakistan undertake environmental impact assessments. Evaluating the mitigation strategies and environmental impact assessment at the Gulpur Hydropower Project.EIA procedures at the Gulpur HPP considered several laws, including the Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency.The development of hydropower projects in the affected area had no negative environmental effects, and any potential effects or compensation were handled lawfully and effectively.

期刊论文 2023-07-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42452-024-05786-5

The Himalayas have become synonymous with the hydropower developments for larger electricity demands of India's energy sector. In the Himachal Himalayas though, there are only three large storage dams with more than 1000 megawatts (hereafter MW) capacity that have very serious environmental issues. However, hundreds of small runoff-river hydropower plants across the Himachal Himalayas are a serious threat to the river regimes and Himalayan biota. There are 965 identified hydropower projects (hereafter HPPs) having a potential capacity of 27,436 MW in the Himachal Pradesh as of December 2019 as per the Directorate of Energy of the state. Out of the 965 identified, 216 are commissioned, including less than 5 MW plants, with an installed capacity of 10,596 MW, and were operational by December 2019. Only 58 projects are under construction among the identified with an installed capacity of 2351 MW, 640 projects are in various stages of clearance and investigation with an installed capacity 9260 MW, 30 projects are to be allotted with 1304 MW installed capacity, and merely four projects are disputed/cancelled with installed capacity of 50.50 MW. The large number of HPPs are sanctioned without proper consideration of negative environmental and geohazard impacts on the Himalayan terrestrial biota. In this work, our focus was on the hydropower and climate change impact on the Himalayan river regimes of the Chenab, the Ravi, the Beas, the Satluj, and the Yamuna river basins. We analyzed basin-wise rainfall, temperature, and soil moisture data from 1955 to 2019 to see the trend by applying the Mann-Kendall test, the linear regression model, and Sen's slope test. A basin-wise hazard zonation map has been drawn to assess the disaster vulnerability, and 12 hydropower sites have been covered through the primary survey for first-hand information of local perceptions and responses owing to hydropower plants.

期刊论文 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.3390/w12102739
  • 首页
  • 1
  • 末页
  • 跳转
当前展示1-5条  共5条,1页