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River-controlled permafrost dynamics are crucial for sediment transport, infrastructure stability, and carbon cycle, yet are not well understood under climate change. Leveraging remotely sensed datasets, in-situ hydrological observations, and physics-based models, we reveal overall warming and widening rivers across the Tibetan Plateau in recent decades, driving accelerated sub-river permafrost thaw. River temperature of a representative (Tuotuohe River) on the central Tibetan Plateau, has increased notably (0.39 degrees C/decade) from 1985 to 2017, facilitating heat transfer into the underlying permafrost via both convection and conduction. Consequently, the permafrost beneath rivers warms faster (0.37 degrees C-0.66 degrees C/decade) and has a similar to 0.5 m thicker active layer than non-inundated permafrost (0.17 degrees C-0.49 degrees C/decade). With increasing river discharge, the inundated area expands laterally along the riverbed (16.4 m/decade), further accelerating permafrost thaw for previously non-inundated bars. Under future warmer and wetter climate, the anticipated intensification of sub-river permafrost degradation will pose risks to riverine infrastructure and amplify permafrost carbon release.

期刊论文 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL112752 ISSN: 0094-8276

This study assesses the vulnerability of Arctic coastal settlements and infrastructure to coastal erosion, Sea-Level Rise (SLR) and permafrost warming. For the first time, we characterize coastline retreat consistently along permafrost coastal settlements at the regional scale for the Northern Hemisphere. We provide a new method to automatically derive long-term coastline change rates for permafrost coasts. In addition, we identify the total number of coastal settlements and associated infrastructure that could be threatened by marine and terrestrial changes using remote sensing techniques. We extended the Arctic Coastal Infrastructure data set (SACHI) to include road types, airstrips, and artificial water reservoirs. The analysis of coastline, Ground Temperature (GT) and Active Layer Thickness (ALT) changes from 2000 to 2020, in addition with SLR projection, allowed to identify exposed settlements and infrastructure for 2030, 2050, and 2100. We validated the SACHI-v2, GT and ALT data sets through comparisons with in-situ data. 60% of the detected infrastructure is built on low-lying coast (< 10 m a.s.l). The results show that in 2100, 45% of all coastal settlements will be affected by SLR and 21% by coastal erosion. On average, coastal permafrost GT is increasing by 0.8 degrees C per decade, and ALT is increasing by 6 cm per decade. In 2100, GT will become positive at 77% of the built infrastructure area. Our results highlight the circumpolar and international amplitude of the problem and emphasize the need for immediate adaptation measures to current and future environmental changes to counteract a deterioration of living conditions and ensure infrastructure sustainability.

期刊论文 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024EF005013

Climate change poses a serious threat to permafrost integrity, with expected warmer winters and increased precipitation, both raising permafrost temperatures and active layer thickness. Under ice-rich conditions, this can lead to increased thermokarst activity and a consequential transfer of soil organic matter to tundra ponds. Although these ponds are known as hotspots for CO2 and CH4 emissions, the dominant carbon sources for the production of greenhouse gases (GHGs) are still poorly studied, leading to uncertainty about their positive feedback to climate warming. This study investigates the potential for lateral thermo-erosion to cause increased GHG emissions from small and shallow tundra ponds found in Arctic ice-wedge polygonal landscapes. Detailed mapping of fine-scale erosive features revealed their strong impact on pond limnological characteristics. In addition to increasing organic matter inputs, providing carbon to heterotrophic microorganisms responsible for GHG production, thermokarst soil erosion also increases shore instability and water turbidity, limiting the establishment of aquatic vegetation-conditions that greatly increase GHG emissions from these aquatic systems. Ponds with more than 40% of the shoreline affected by lateral erosion experienced significantly higher rates of GHG emissions (similar to 1200 mmol CO2 m-2 yr-1 and similar to 250 mmol CH4 m-2 yr-1) compared to ponds with no active shore erosion (similar to 30 mmol m-2 yr-1 for both GHG). Although most GHGs emitted as CO2 and CH4 had a modern radiocarbon signature, source apportionment models implied an increased importance of terrestrial carbon being emitted from ponds with erosive shorelines. If primary producers are unable to overcome the limitations associated with permafrost disturbances, this contribution of older carbon stocks may become more significant with rising permafrost temperatures.

期刊论文 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1433 ISSN: 1748-9326

Permafrost soils store a substantial part of the global soil carbon and nitrogen. However, global warming causes abrupt erosion and gradual thaw, which make these stocks vulnerable to microbial decomposition into greenhouse gases. Here, we investigated the microbial response to abrupt in situ permafrost thaw. We sequenced the total RNA of a 1 m deep soil core consisting of up to 26 500-year-old permafrost material from an active abrupt erosion site. We analysed the microbial community in the active layer soil, the recently thawed, and the intact permafrost, and found maximum RNA:DNA ratios in recently thawed permafrost indicating a high microbial activity. In thawed permafrost, potentially copiotrophic Burkholderiales and Sphingobacteriales, but also microbiome predators dominated the community. Overall, both thaw-dependent and long-term soil properties significantly correlated with changes in community composition, as did microbiome predator abundance. Bacterial predators were dominated in shallower depths by Myxococcota, while protozoa, especially Cercozoa and Ciliophora, almost tripled in relative abundance in thawed layers. Our findings highlight the ecological importance of a diverse interkingdom and active microbial community highly abundant in abruptly thawing permafrost, as well as predation as potential biological control mechanism. Using total RNA from an up to 26 500-year-old abruptly eroding permafrost site in Greenland, we described increased microbial activity and its controls, including thaw and microbiome predator abundance.

期刊论文 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1093/femsec/fiad123 ISSN: 0168-6496

Wind erosion can cause desertification and sandstorms in arid and semiarid areas. However, quantitative studies of the dynamic changes in wind erosion over long time periods are relatively rare, and this knowledge gap hinders our un-derstanding of desertification under the conditions of a changing climate. Here, we selected the Mongolian Plateau as the study area. Using the revised wind erosion equation (RWEQ) model, we assessed the spatial and temporal dy-namics of wind erosion on the Mongolian Plateau from 1982 to 2018. Our results showed that the wind erosion inten-sity on the Mongolian Plateau increased from northeast to southwest. The annual mean wind erosion modulus was 46.5 t center dot ha-1 in 1982-2008, with a significant decline at a rate of -5.1 t center dot ha-1 center dot 10 yr-1. The intensity of wind erosion was the strongest in spring, followed by autumn and summer, and was weakest in winter. During 1982-2018, wind erosion showed a significant decreasing trend in all seasons except winter. The wind erosion contribution of spring to the total annual wind erosion significantly increased, while that of summer significantly decreased. These results can help decision-makers identify high-risk areas of soil erosion on the Mongolian Plateau and take effective measures to adapt to climate change.

期刊论文 2022-10-01 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160829 ISSN: 0048-9697

Erosion of landscapes underlaid by permafrost can transform sediment and nutrient fluxes, surface and subsurface hydrology, soil properties, and rates of permafrost thaw, thus changing ecosystems and carbon emissions in high latitude regions with potential implications for global climate. However, future rates of erosion and sediment transport are difficult to predict as they depend on complex interactions between climatic and environmental parameters such as temperature, precipitation, permafrost, vegetation, wildfires, and hydrology. Thus, despite the potential influence of erosion on the future of the Arctic and global systems, the relations between erosion-rate and these parameters, as well as their relative importance, remain largely unquantified. Here we quantify these relations based on a sedimentary record from Burial Lake, Alaska, one of the richest datasets of Arctic lake deposits. We apply a set of bi- and multi-variate techniques to explore the association between the flux of terrigenous sediments into the lake (a proxy for erosion-rate) and a variety of biogeochemical sedimentary proxies for paleoclimatic and environmental conditions over the past 25 cal ka BP. Our results show that erosion-rate is most strongly associated with temperature and vegetation proxies, and that erosion-rate decreases with increased temperature, pollen-counts, and abundance of pollen from shrubs and trees. Other proxies, such as those associated with fire frequency, aeolian dust supply, mass wasting and hydrologic conditions, play a secondary role. The marginal effects of the sedimentary-proxies on erosion-rate are often threshold dependent, highlighting the potential for strong non-linear changes in erosion in response to future changes in Arctic conditions.

期刊论文 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1029/2022EF002779

The relevance. Water erosion of soil is one of the priority environmental and economic problems of our time. This is due to the fact that soil is a limited resource, required for food production, carbon sequestration, regulation of water and nutrients, filtering pollutants, increasing biodiversity etc. Zonal soil types are degrading constantly as a result of population growth, deforestation, increase in arable land and climate change. Although water erosion is one the most serious cause of soil degradation, global patterns of erosion activity are still difficult to quantify. Various calculation and field measurements methods are currently used to assess the magnitude of soil washout. The data on soil washout from the slopes of arable land in the southern part of the Tomsk region, obtained by the various authors using different methods, are contradictory. The main aim: a brief overview of the factors in the development of soil erosion during snowmelt, assessment of the intensity and dynamics of erosion based on long-term field observations on arable land in the southern administrative districts of the Tomsk region and calculation methods. Objects: agricultural land (arable land) in the southeast of the Tomsk region. Methods: field measurements, computational method, laboratory and analytical methods. Results. Our observations have shown that the erosion hazard of agricultural land in the southeast of the Tomsk region is caused by a complex of interrelated natural and anthropogenic factors such as relief, underlying rocks and soils, climatic indicators, and land cultivation methods. The average annual washout from the slopes of arable land in the region over a 34-year observation period varies from 2-5 to 16-30 m(3)/ha per snowmelt, sometimes washout measure up 50-80 m(3)/ha. According to the calculated data, the mean annual values of the flush modulus fluctuate in the range of 4,0-9,4 m(3)/ha. Differences in soil washout assessments are explained by the imperfections of various methods that require improvement. The calculations do not take into account the uneven occurrence of the snow cover, microrelief, the presence of forest belts, and the shape of the slopes.

期刊论文 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.18799/24131830/2022/3/3407 ISSN: 2500-1019

The decomposition of thawing permafrost organic matter (OM) to the greenhouse gases (GHG) carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane forms a positive feedback to global climate change. Data on in situ GHG fluxes from thawing permafrost OM are scarce and OM degradability is largely unknown, causing high uncertainties in the permafrost-carbon climate feedback. We combined in situ CO2 and methane flux measurements at an abrupt permafrost thaw feature with laboratory incubations and dynamic modeling to quantify annual CO2 release from thawing permafrost OM, estimate its in situ degradability and evaluate the explanatory power of incubation experiments. In July 2016 and 2019, CO2 fluxes ranged between 0.24 and 2.6 g CO2-C m(-2) d(-1). Methane fluxes were low, which coincided with the absence of active methanogens in the Pleistocene permafrost. CO2 fluxes were lower three years after initial thaw after normalizing these fluxes to thawed carbon, indicating the depletion of labile carbon. Higher CO2 fluxes from thawing Pleistocene permafrost than from Holocene permafrost indicate OM preservation for millennia and give evidence that microbial activity in the permafrost was not substantial. Short-term incubations overestimated in situ CO2 fluxes but underestimated methane fluxes. Two independent models simulated median annual CO2 fluxes of 160 and 184 g CO2-C m(-2) from the thaw slump, which include 25%-31% CO2 emissions during winter. Annual CO2 fluxes represent 0.8% of the carbon pool thawed in the surface soil. Our results demonstrate the potential of abrupt thaw processes to transform the tundra from carbon neutral into a substantial GHG source.

期刊论文 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1029/2021JG006543 ISSN: 2169-8953

Wind erosion has notable impacts on ecology, water supply and regional climate, but its distributions and longterm changes are still poorly quantified for the Tibetan Plateau (TP). This study develops a coupled land-surface wind-erosion model (HRLDAS-WEPS) in two dimensions horizontally to analyze wind-erosion distributions and its temporal variations under the climate change in 1979?2015 over the entire TP. Two model enhancements are also used, including the application of MODIS vegetation datasets and the optimization of snow-cover parameterizations. Evaluation results indicate that the enhanced coupled model can generally represent the winderosion distributions over the TP, being mainly located in the arid and semi-arid areas and occurring in winter and spring, as compared with station observations and satellite datasets. In 1979?2015, wind erosion has a significant (P < 0.01) decreasing trend of -0.54 kg m- 2 yr- 1 for annual total soil loss averaged over the arid and semi-arid areas of the TP, which is mainly due to the significant (P < 0.01) declining wind speed and increasing soil moisture. The severest wind-erosion reduction is located to the northwest of the 200 mm precipitation line and the Qaidam Basin. Furthermore, a significant turning point of wind-erosion variation is found in 1992. Specifically, wind erosion over the TP decreases from 1979 to 1991 (-1.26 kg m- 2 yr- 1), and then stays at a low level with a slight increase (0.08 kg m- 2 yr- 1) since 1993. This is probably due to the abrupt change of wind speed over the TP in 1991.

期刊论文 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aeolia.2021.100699 ISSN: 1875-9637

Despite the fact that winter lasts for a third of the year in the temperate grasslands, winter processes in these ecosystems have been inadequately represented in global climate change studies. While climate change increases the snow depth in the Mongolian Plateau, grasslands in this region are also simultaneously facing high pressure from land use changes, such as grazing, mowing, and agricultural cultivation. To elucidate how these changes affect the grasslands' winter nitrogen (N) budget, we manipulated snow depth under different land use practices and conducted a(15)NH(4)(15)NO(3)-labeling experiment. The change in(15)N recovery during winter time was assessed by measuring the(15)N/N-14 ratio of root, litter, and soils (0-5 cm and 5-20 cm). Soil microbial biomass carbon and N as well as N2O emission were also measured. Compared with ambient snow, the deepened snow treatment reduced total(15)N recovery on average by 21.7% and 19.2% during the first and second winter, respectively. The decrease in(15)N recovery was primarily attributed to deepened snow increasing the soil temperature and thus microbial biomass. The higher microbial activity under deepened snow then subsequently resulted in higher gaseous N loss. The N2O emission under deepened snow (0.144 kg N ha(-1)) was 6.26 times than that of under ambient snow (0.023 kg N ha(-1)) during the period of snow cover and spring thaw. Although deepened snow reduced soil(15)N recovery, the surface soil N concentration remained unchanged after five years' deepened snow treatment because deepened snow reduced soil N loss via wind erosion by 86%.

期刊论文 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00374-020-01514-4 ISSN: 0178-2762
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