The surface conductor is the first structural pipe in the development of deep-water oil and gas resources, bearing the top load and suspending various casing layers. Vibrational loads can cause soil structural damage and increase pore pressure, reducing the bearing capacity of the surface conductor and threatening the safety and stability of the subsea wellhead. Based on the vertical force analysis of the surface conductor and considering the impact of vibrational loads on soil strength, a model for the vertical bearing capacity of the surface conductor was established. Utilizing the dynamic Winkler model for pile foundation horizontal dynamic response, the surface conductor was simplified as a bending beam subjected to harmonic vibration, and a control equation for lateral deformation of the surface conductor was established. The effects of vibration load amplitude and frequency on the vertical bearing capacity of surface conductors were analyzed through simulation experiments, resulting in an equivalent bearing capacity coefficient for surface conductors ranging from 0.88 to 0.97. Combining the engineering data from a deep-water block in the South China Sea, the reliability of the theoretical calculation model was validated. The analysis indicates that the maximum bending moment of the surface conductor is approximately 6m below the mudline; low-frequency(0.05Hz-0.2Hz) vibrational loads can reduce the ultimate bearing capacity of the surface conductor by 3%-11%, with the effect gradually diminishing over time. This research provides a theoretical basis for the design of surface conductor in deep-water oil and gas wells.

The surface conductor is the first structural casing in deepwater natural gas hydrate (NGH) development, bearing the top load while suspending the casings of various layers. NGH decomposition leads to formation settlement, changing the mechanical properties of the formation and reducing the bearing capacity of the surface conductor, threatening the safety and stability of the wellhead. Understanding the bearing characteristics of the surface conductor in the hydrate formation can guide the safe drilling operation in the field. By introducing the negative skin friction theory of pile foundations and based on conventional bearing capacity models, a method for calculating the bearing capacity of surface conductors in NGH formations was developed. Using an NGH drilling simulation apparatus, the accuracy of the bearing capacity theoretical model was verified, empirical coefficients under different conditions were obtained, and the influence of soil parameters, hydrate saturation, and decomposition temperature on the bearing capacity of surface conductors was quantified. The results indicated that compared to clay, sandy soils have higher porosity and significantly weakened strength after the decomposition of NGH; when the hydrate saturation in the formation is 20%, the reduction in bearing capacity of the surface conductor in sand exceeds 30%, and in clay soils, it decreases by 25% after complete decomposition of NGH; as the hydrate saturation increases, the reduction in the bearing capacity of surface conductors after decomposition becomes more significant. Verified through Experimentation, the error of the hydrate-bearing strata-bearing capacity model is around 10%. For short-term test production operations of NGH in water, the design depth for surface conductors is around 100 m. These research results can provide a scientific theoretical basis for the design of conductor depth below the mud, and reduce operational risks.