The Arctic-boreal zone (ABZ) is warming due to climate change. Current spaceborne remote sensing techniques and retrieval methodologies need to be complemented to improve systematic monitoring of the cryosphere. To that end, this article presents a new investigation of the use of the global navigation satellite system reflectometry (GNSS-R) remote sensing technique by a SmallSat constellation. A new freeze/thaw (F/T) seasonal multithresholding algorithm (STA) is developed using high-inclination orbit near-Nadir Spire Global GNSS-R data acquired through the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Commercial Smallsat Data Acquisition (CSDA) Program. Five different soil surface reflectivity Gamma models are proposed to account for the impact of vegetation cover and small-scale surface roughness on Earth-reflected GNSS signals. The sensitivity of the Gamma models to F/T surface state transitions is evaluated, and the optimum model is selected to construct a seasonal scale factor. Then, a multithresholding matrix is obtained for F/T classification using a specific threshold for every surface grid cell. Results for the annual frozen soil duration (days yr(-1)) are compared with those by the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission. Additionally, freezing and thawing periods are analyzed to determine when the moisture exchange with the atmosphere is locked, which is an important climatic factor. A novel metric is introduced to characterize the freeze intensity moving beyond classical F/T binary classifications. Results are evaluated using air and soil temperature, snow depth and temperature, and soil moisture content (SMC) provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5-Land reanalysis product.

Economic and human losses from flooding have had a significant global impact. Undeveloped nations often require extended periods to recover from flood-related damage, exacerbating the climate poverty trap, specifically in flood-prone regions. To address this issue, early warning systems (EWS) provide lead time for preparedness and measures to reduce vulnerability. However, EWS are mainly empirical at large scales and often do not incorporate hydrodynamic behaviors in flood forecasting, at least in developing regions with a lack of information. This study presents an open-source system integrating a hydrodynamic model with satellite rainfall data (PERSIANN PDIR-Now) and weather prediction data (GFS). It functions as a near real-time Digital Twin (DT) and Early Warning System for high-resolution flood forecasting. Simulated data can be compared with gauge stations in real-time through the model monitoring interface. A proof-of-concept was made by assessing the model capabilities in two case studies. First, the system simulated two consecutive extreme events (hurricanes ETA and IOTA) over the Sula Valley, Honduras, showing fidelity in streamflow responses. Second, the system worked as a DT and EWS to monitor the current and future hydrological states for two periods in 2022 and 2023. Results indicate that satellite data coupled with DT can provide up-to-date system conditions for flood forecasts for regions of lack of data for extreme rainfall events. This tool offered insights to enhance civil protection and societal engagement through warning dissemination against extreme events to build resilience to cope with the increasing magnitude and frequency of disasters in regions with data scarcity.