Strength level reliability assessment of jacket platforms considering uncertainties in earthquake records and mechanical properties of the structure and soil

Seismic reliability assessment jacket platform record-to-record variability uncertainty in mechanical properties of structure and soil reliability methods variance reduction Monte Carlo sampling methods
["Nasseri, Taha","Aghakouchak, Ali Akbar"] 2025-04-17 期刊论文
For offshore platforms installed in seismically active regions, maintaining the safety of operations is an important concern. Therefore, the reliability of these structures, under earthquake ground motions, should be evaluated accurately. In this study, reliability methods are applied to determine the probability of failure of jacket platforms against extreme level earthquake (ELE), considering uncertainties in ground motions and the properties of the structure and soil. They are verified by two variance reduction Monte Carlo sampling methods to find the most efficient method in terms of both accuracy and calculation time. During the ELE event, also called strength level earthquake, structural members and foundation components are permitted to sustain localised and limited nonlinear behaviour, so a force-based criterion is utilized for the limit-state function. The results indicate that all reliability methods, except for FOSM, provide a good approximation of the probability of failure. Also, Point-fitting SORM is the most efficient method.
来源平台:SHIPS AND OFFSHORE STRUCTURES