长江黄河源区高寒生态系统对全球气候变化的响应及其水文效应

气候变化 高寒生态系统 冻土环境 水文循环 响应
王根绪 2006-01 项目
【英文摘要】Under climate change, the patiotemporal shifts in the extent and distribution of alpine ecosystems in source region of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers of Qinghai-Tibet plateau were investigated. The cause mechanism of alpine ecosystems variation and the influences of the grassland coverage changes on water cycle and hydrological processes were studied. The results shown that the alpine ecosystems have continually degraded in recent 45 years under climate warming. The greatest wetland degradation occurred in the headwaters region of Yangtze River, where wetland areas shrank by 29%, and the area of dried-up lakes rose by 17.5%. While, the high-cover areas of alpine meadow in the headwaters region of Yellow River shrank by 23.2%.The vegetation cover and biomass of the alpine cold meadow exhibit a significant relationship with the increase in the thickness of active layer, and the changes of alpine meadow and wetland areas have a significant relation to climate warming. The climate changes and permafrost environment variation are the most important and direct factors leading to the changes of alpine-cold ecosystem in the region.An ecosystem-biomass model was developed, employing empirical spatial-distribution models of the study region's precipitation, air temperature and soil temperature. This model was then successfully used to simulate the spatio-temporal variations in annual alpine ecosystem biomass production under climate change. For a 0.44 C decade-1 rise in air temperature, the model predicted biomass of alpine meadow and alpine steppe to decrease by 6.3% and 6.7%, respectively, if precipitation remained constant.Changes in vegetative cover of the alpine frost meadow affected soil moisture and its distribution, as well as the relationship between soil water and soil temperature. The changes of the coupling relationship between soil water and temperature and the soil water distribution were the main factors to cause the rainfall-runoff pattern and the FDC changes in a river basin scale.
【中文摘要】研究全球气候变化下长江黄河源区特殊高寒生态系统的响应方式、途径与机制,选择典型流域利用对比试验的方法研究高寒生态系统变化的河源区水文过程效应,研究全球气候变化和人类活动共同影响下河源区生态过程与水文过程的耦合机制。研究结果表明:过去45年来,江河源区气温升高幅度高于青藏高原平均水平,降水量变化没有明显的增减趋势。在这种气候变化背景下,源区高寒草地生态系统呈现持续退化趋势,黄河源区高覆盖草甸面积减少了23.2%;以长江源区的沼泽湿地退化最为严重,退缩幅度达到29%。高寒草甸和沼泽草甸生态系统空间分布面积变化与气温变化呈现显著的相关性,高寒草地植被覆盖度和地上生产力与冻土上限变化之间具有密切的关系,认为气候持续变暖及其驱动的冻土退化并叠加人类不合理的放牧活动,是导致青藏高原河源区高寒生态系统变化的主要驱动因素。模型模拟结果表明,未来10年气温增加0.44℃,降水量不变,高寒草甸和高寒草原地上生物量分别递减6.3%和6.7%。高寒生态系统退化改变了源区活动层土壤的水热耦合关系和水循环过程,是导致流域降水-径流关系和径流FDC分布发生较大改变的主要原因。