用于作物生产可持续性评估的碳、氮、水足迹集成分析

农田生态系统 生态足迹 情景分析 模型模拟 生态系统服务
程琨 2016-01 项目
Ecosystem service could be affected by agricultural activities through carbon, nitrogen and water cycling in soil; however, faultless ecosystem service is indispensable for agricultural sustainable development under global climate change. Carbon, nitrogen and water footprint were developed to quantify the impact of human activities on ecosystem and environment in recent years. In this project, a methodology of carbon, nitrogen and water footprint quantification will be developed to evaluate crop production sustainability. A case study will be conducted to compare the differences of carbon, nitrogen and water footprint between typical management pattern and improved management patterns in main cropping systems, and the reasons why these differences occur will be also explored. Integrating analysis will be employed to quantify the impact of crop production on ecosystem and environment from greenhouse effect, nitrogen loss and water consumption and their relative contributions. The innovation of this project is the comprehensive evaluation of the impact of agricultural management on sustainability of crop production through the integrating analysis of carbon, nitrogen and water footprint. This project will provide the scientific basis on practice selection and policy-making for agricultural sustainable development.
农业生产活动通过土壤的碳、氮、水循环影响着生态系统服务,而完善的生态系统服务是气候变化背景下农业可持续发展的必要条件。碳、氮、水足迹是近年来发展的量化人类活动对生态环境影响的重要指标。本项目拟采用统计计量和模型模拟相结合的方法,开发适用于评价作物生产对农业发展可持续性影响的碳、氮、水足迹计量方法;并以主要种植制度为例,研究常规管理和优化管理模式下作物生产碳、氮、水足迹特征及其差异,挖掘引起差异的关键因子;采用集成分析手段从温室效应、氮素损失和水资源消耗三个方面量化作物生产活动对生态环境的影响及其相对贡献。项目创新之处在于通过碳、氮、水足迹集成分析来综合评估农业管理对作物生产可持续性的影响,研究结果可为农业可持续发展技术选择和政策制定提供理论依据和科学参考。