印度洋-太平洋对流振荡年际变化的成因及其对西北太平洋热带气旋活动的影响

印度洋-太平洋对流振荡 海气相互作用 热带气旋 西北太平洋
郑佳喻 2016-01 项目
The Indo-Pacific convection oscillation (IPCO) is out-of-phase convection anomalies over the north Indian Ocean and western North Pacific. Recent study shows that the IPCO is closely related to the East Asian summer monsoon. However, the formation mechanism of the IPCO has not been discussed, and there are no systemic analyses regarding the effects of the IPCO on the tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific. By using observation datasets, employing statistical analysis and dynamic diagnosis method, and combing with the theoretical analysis and numerical simulations, this project will explore the air-sea interaction processes associated with the interannual variations of the IPCO, and study the influence and relevant mechanism of the IPCO on the tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific. The implement of relevant work would improve the understanding of the variations of the IPCO and the East Asian climate, thus it would be helpful in both the scientific endeavor and practical significance.
印度洋-太平洋对流振荡(Indo-Pacific convection oscillation,IPCO)是发生在北印度洋和西北太平洋之间的反位相对流振荡。已有研究表明,IPCO与东亚夏季风有紧密的联系。但是,引起IPCO年际变化的物理成因还没有被讨论过,其对西北太平洋热带气旋活动的影响也缺乏系统、深入的研究。本项目拟利用观测资料,通过资料统计和动力诊断,并结合理论分析和数值模拟,围绕IPCO这个中心,研究引起IPCO年际变化的海气相互作用过程,讨论IPCO对西北太平洋热带气旋活动的影响及其机制。此项目对我们进一步理解IPCO的活动规律,以及提高对东亚夏季气候的认识具有重要意义。