云南地区全新世高分辨率森林火灾史

花粉分析 炭屑分析 古气候定量重建 森林火灾 气候与森林火灾的关系
沈才明 2014-01 项目
Whether forest fires in Yunnan increase or not under the background of global warming has become a hot issue focused by the government, common people, and scientists. The key to understand the relationship between climate changes and forest fires is to understand forest fire history under natural conditions during the geological times. We propose to conduct analyses of pollen and charcoal on samples from lake surfaces and cores in Yunnan to reveal this relationship. We will collect surface samples from lakes and ponds for pollen and charcoal analysis to establish modern pollen-climate and charcoal-fire databases, and then build modern pollen-climate transfer functions and determine the quantitative and semi-quantitative relationship between charcoals and forest fires including fire frequency and intensity. By applying modern transfer functions to fossil pollen records with precise dating from two lakes of Yunnan, we will establish two high resolution Holocene climate sequences, which can be used for regional and global comparisons. By applying the modern charcoal-fire relationship to charcoal records from two lakes, we will reconstruct regional forest fire histories during the Holocene. Based on the reconstructed vegetation, climate and regional forest fire histories, we will examine forest fire frequency and intensity under natural conditions and intensified human activities, determine climatic conditions and vegetation types relevant to forest fires, and finally discuss the role of human activities in regional forest fire histories of Yunnan. This project will provide scientific basis for comprehensively understanding of regional forest fires, the ecological environment protection, and the forest fire prevention and control in Yunnan.
了解地质历史时期在自然环境背景下森林火灾发生历史是正确认识气候变化与森林火灾发生关系的关键。本项目拟通过对云南地区现代表层样品和全新世湖泊钻孔样品的花粉和炭屑分析研究森林火灾和气候变化的关系。通过表层样的花粉和炭屑分析建立现代花粉-气候参数、炭屑-火灾数据库,确定现代花粉-气候转换函数,明确现代炭屑与地区森林火灾频率和强度的定量和半定量关系;选择云南南部和中北部两个全新世高沉积速率的湖泊钻孔取样,在精确定年和花粉分析的基础上,定量重建全新世以来高分辨率的气候变化和植被演替序列和炭屑记录;利用现代炭屑与地区森林火灾的关系研究云南全新世以来区域性的森林火灾史,揭示自然状态下和人类活动加强后森林火灾发生频率与强度变化的差异,明确对应的植被和气候环境变化过程,探讨人类活动在云南森林火灾中扮演的角色。本项目希望为全面认识云南森林火灾发生的规律以及为云南生态环境保护、森林火灾防治提供科学依据。